Currently, the way primaries work, winning states is not what counts.

Clinton led with 584 delegates to Obama's 563.
...
Overall, that gave Clinton 845 delegates, to 765 for Obama,

It is great so many Democrats turned out to the polls. I hope we can become one behind the winning candidate in November!

I think many rational people could argue it's going to be hard for Obama to overcome Clinton's wins in California, New York, Florida, Michigan, plus a few Southern pickups. Sure, the guy won more states, but Clinton won more votes by an order of magnitude. It's not like picking up that level of support is going to make it hard for her to raise money.

(Edit, from Census.gov: U.S. State population estimates. States won by Obama average about 65 million population so far, HRC with MI and FL total more than TWICE as many residents, at 118 million or so*.

Even without MI and FL, HRC won states with 30 million more residents than Obama's total - that's about four times the population of Tennessee. Someone with more time on their hands than I have today will have to crunch statistics on numbers of folks registered to vote in these states...I'm assuming fairly static numbers, and that may not be the case. Although I'd still be - is surprised the word? - if someone manages to wring more numbers out of Missouri than California has, although the enthusiasm of Obama supporters at this point should not be underestimated.)

On to Ohio, I guess. Again. Sigh....As far as this, though?

He is wearing her campaign down.

All I have to say is, keep on dreaming, friend. Hillary is tough as nails, and that includes not folding the tent when things get hard. If anything, adversity makes her team work harder, and I'd bet anything I own it'll be working smarter along with that harder.

Plus, what's up with Obama winning caucus states, while Clinton wins actual elections? Unfortunately for Obama supporters, this one also plays to HRC's strength, since last I checked, November 4, 2008, will not be a caucus.

As far as spending money, it costs A LOT more to run television ads in San Francisco and Long Island than it does in Rochester, Minnesota. Here again, this is something of a nonissue.

[*The population in states won by Hillary actually is more than twice as many as Obama...the actual number is twice as many, plus five million, enough to fill up another state like Kansas or ND.]

No linky?

I think Idaho had a caucus, which means those #s are based on small real #s.

Here's what I found interesting - in almost every state (Missouri being the obvious exception) either Clinton won big or Obama won big. What's up with that?

Are Hillary voters not going to vote for Obama if he wins the nomination?

That's not what I'm reading. What I'm reading is that in the general election, Obama probably wouldn't win Alabama or Kansas or South Carolina. [McCain] will. Those are Republican strongholds.

By the same token, Hillary probably won't carry Obion County and Cocke County and Blount County and Knox County and Sullivan County like she did last night in a general election against [McCain], and would still probably carry Davidson and Shelby, even though she lost them to Obama last night. Different dynamics are in play then. You can split tickets, e.g.

California & New York, OTOH, are consistent Dem performers. Think Electoral College here (it's a broken system, yes, but it's the framework we have to work with today). They alone represent 86 EV's of 270 needed to win. Overlay the EV's of the states that Clinton won versus what Obama won and you'll see what this means.

____________________________

With the possible exception of things like box scores, race results, and stock market tabulations, there is no such thing as Objective Journalism. The phrase itself is a pompous contradiction in terms.

Are Hillary voters not going to vote for Obama if he wins the nomination?

This one will.

For an interesting perspective on super-delegates, see here.

I think, like Rachel said, it's pretty close to a tie. I think that we all have to be patient, and attempt to be nice to one another. it helps if none of us draw fine lines that piss other people off.

I think that the world is going to be surprised by how well the Dems do in November. I think a lot of conventional wisdom needs to be thrown out the window.

pgs

Pam Strickland

"We are what we pretend to be, so we must be careful about what we pretend to be." ~Kurt Vonnegut

From what I can tell, you are correct re those delegate calculations. In the meantime, the candidates have each been trying to claim underdog status. Odd, but true.

pgs

Pam Strickland

"We are what we pretend to be, so we must be careful about what we pretend to be." ~Kurt Vonnegut