Fri
Oct 31 2008
04:37 am
By: R. Neal
After a surge in the last three days of early voting (with 17,119 voting on the last day) the Knox Co. early vote total is 125,270. That's roughly 48% of registered voters.
Early voting turnout in 2004 was 108,342 (39% of registered, 60% of total vote), and 70,199 in 2000 (30% of registered, 46% of total vote).
UPDATE: Turnout by ward/precinct attached.
UPDATE: Best and worst turnout by ward...
Early vote turnout, top ten wards: WARD EV REG 66S FARRAGUT 2 FAR HI 4541 7256 63% 66N FARRAGUT 1 FAR HI 5353 8619 62% 69S S BLUEGRASS SCHOOL 4930 7938 62% 51 DEANE HILL REC CTR 1715 2804 61% 71 ROCKY HILL SCHOOL 3332 5467 61% 74 SHANNONDALE EL SC 1441 2368 61% 65 CONCORD FAR MD SC 6699 11145 60% 69N A L LOTTS ELEM SCH 4361 7434 59% 70 BALL CAMP ELEM SC 5564 9507 59% 61 HALLS HIGH SCHOOL 4889 8408 58% Early vote turnout, bottom ten wards: WARD EV REG 18 LINCOLN PARK SCH 454 1806 25% 50S WEST HIGH SCH (S) 241 960 25% 78 RIVERDALE COM CTR 219 875 25% 87 THORN GROVE CM CTR 337 1385 24% 92 GAP CREEK SCHOOL 314 1304 24% 19 SOAR MINISTRIES 246 1164 21% 23N LIONS CLUB COMM 130 685 19% 24N PELLISSIPPI STATE 43 299 14% 20 BEAUMONT SCHOOL 153 1143 13% 23S WEST VIEW SCHOOL 74 597 12%
| Attachment | Size |
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| knoxevward3.xls | 37.5 KB |
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Where's the youth vote? EV
Where's the youth vote?
EV turnout for Fort Sanders ward: 32%
EV turnout University ward: 33%
1Oth
Raw vote in 10-N & 10-S.
Early Vote 10-N:
2008-1,243
Total Vote 10-N:
2004-1,793
Early Vote 10-S:
2008-1,178
Total Vote 10-S:
2004-1,348
In 10-N I believe there will be 2,000 total turn-out.
Beats '04 record of 1,793
I have no clue in 10-S.Only 170 votes from beating the record setting turn out of '04.
Don't forget there were tons of address changes @ the UC early voting location.Students are mobile.
Lots of students don't live
Lots of students don't live on campus anymore. If they wait till election day to vote, they'll be voting all over town.
True
Thats true but the 10-S ward is 99.9% UT dorms.I just dont know what to make of the 10-S early vote this time..170 votes shy of the '04 record turn out in the ward is something.It could mean huge over all turn out or because of the UC early vote site an 80% early vote ward.We will know Tuesday.
OTH,10-N has 3 campus housing units..Clement Hall,Knox Place & the Soriety dorm on Laurel.I dont know if Strong Hall is still open.Plus,the students that live here off campus.Could be 1,000 voters turn out Tuesday but I think closer to 7 or 8 hundred.
Where's the black vote?
Where's the black vote? Mixed results:
06 Green 26%
09 Moses Ctr 26%
12 Eastport 36%
14M Walter P. Taylor 31%
15 John T. O'Conner 34%
16S Belle Morris 35%
Better:
13 FairGarden 45%
14E Austin-East 43%
30 Sarah Moore Green 45%
32 Springhill 47%
(Based on zip+census.)
9th & 13th
Raw vote in 9th & 13th
Early Vote in 9th:
2008-301
Total Vote in 9th:
2004-536
Early Vote in 13th:
2008-1,156
Total Vote in 13th:
2004-1,648
Thats a very good early vote in 9 & 13.I have no prediction on turn-out in these two wards but it looks like it's going to a record & could be off the charts with so many registered voters yet to vote.
Looks like
McCain territory is ripping to shreds the Obama territory. How East TN goes, so goes the nation.
I guess thats why every
I guess thats why every reputable poll has Obama stomping papaws ass in the electoral count eh? Try again troll.
HAW!!!
Now that is funny.
You forget 2000, when Gore won and the Supreme court intervened to give the presidency to W.
TN went for the loser who cheated and won.
-Sugarfatpie (AKA Alex Pulsipher)
"X-Rays are a hoax."-Lord Kelvin
Nobody Doesn't Understand Bellwethers
That's odd. I don't remember, Bob Dole's inaugural speech in 1997. And, of course, who can forget the historic chapter that was George H.W. Bush's second term?
Calling Paul Witt
Is this right?
Early Vote + Absentee= 127,988
128,929 actually
128,929 actually