Tue
Feb 3 2009
05:34 pm
By: StaceyDiamond

I don't see how repairing roads would provide the stimulus we need. The aid to states would help lessen some of the cuts to education and help people on unemployment, but I wonder what happens at budget time next year. All that said , on the GOP side I certainly don't see how tax cuts will help someone who has lost all their income!!

What seems to not be mentioned enough , IMO, is how gas prices played into the collapse, you hear about housing and the stock market, but I bet restaurants and stores really began having trouble when gas was 4-5$ a gallon this fall and then had the other economic problems added to it. Since the oil companies have purposely slowed production, I wonder how it will be if we have another price spike. Its bad enough to have your pay check eaten up by gas, but what happens when you have no pay check. All the extra food stamps and unemployment that might have given people a bit of a boost will once again be eaten by rising food and energy prices, just like last summer's rebate checks were.

WGPittman's picture

IMHO, Obama needs to plan a

IMHO, Obama needs to plan a 3-legged economic stool:

1. Ensure bank liquidity which will ease the credit crunch.
2. Stabilize home prices.
3. Increase consumer confidence to spur spending.

From this AM's KNS, I saw an article about the Home Builders protesting the stimulus...I guess it leaves them out...and it should. An overabundance of housing harms #2 above and until #1 above is done, the point is moot.

jbr's picture

Spurring more building

Spurring more building doesn't really do anything positive for the economy as a whole that I see. There is a glut now. And of homes that are too expensive both because just too much house, and in addition because artificially high appraisals. The building component of the economics realistically will have to take it on the chin. They did it to themselves.

I saw the condos adjacent to city? garage downtown priced starting at $249,000. That seems 'crazy talk' high to me.

cafkia's picture

Actually, road repair is

Actually, road repair is exactly the kind of stimulus we need. If you picture the economy as a pyramid with us poor people on the bottom as the largest group and the Gates' and Buffetts at the top, it makes sense. Whatever money goes to the folks on the bottom, the laborers and servers and entry level types, that money gets spent. It makes it's way up the pyramid and stands a good chance of being in circulation for quite a while. It has the advantage of having to be earned by those farther up the pyramid which is an advantage because it means they can't get it unless they have an operating business. If they were to get that money as a "giveaway", they would quite likely put it into savings right now but, because they have to "earn" it, they will have to pay employees, buy stock, improve the physical structures, advertise, buy supplies etc etc etc.

The idiotic tax cuts for the wealthy is more of the voodoo, trickle-down Reaganomics that simply doesn't have any significant stimulative effect. Companies respond to increased business by making sure that they can handle increased business. They do not build up their businesses while business is declining. That is when they tend to sit on their holdings. Poor, lower-middle and, middle-class should be the focus of the stimulus package. We will put the money we get into circulation. We got no choice.

CAFKIA

----------------------------------------------------------- 

It is impossible to defeat an ignorant man in argument.
  - William G. McAdoo

WGPittman's picture

I agree with CAFKIA...the

I agree with CAFKIA...the wealthiest do the best when those lower on the ladder do very well. Supply follows demand and his thoughts feed right into (my) #3 above. One caveat on road building and such infrastructure improvements...they will help and they are most certainly needed but it won't be as successful as FDR's projects simply because so fewer people are needed due to the machinery now available.

reform4's picture

Thank you!

"Companies respond to increased business by making sure that they can handle increased business. They do not build up their businesses while business is declining. That is when they tend to sit on their holdings. "

Thank you for reiterating clearly the major hole in Reaganomics. Cut taxes all you want, but if you have no customers, you're not going to expand or hire. We're certainly seeing that in our business. You could tax me at 0%, but that wouldn't make me expand one iota, I'd just bank the cash to use in better times.

Pamela Treacy's picture

Did you also read the story about people cutting back?

I found the editorial on the stimulus package and the story in business section about "Hunkering down can hurt" very interesting.

Could this whole recession be a way for people to reevaluate their lives? With 7.2 percent unemployment, how many people have lost both jobs in their household? 30 years ago, each household had one employee. Now most households have two. So if one loses a job, it is definitely different than recessions past when that job was the only one.

The couple in the story had $40,000 in debt and making $60K in salary. I hate to be caddy but I wonder what she was spending the money on -- the house looks like it hadn't been touched in 30 years. She admitted to being a shopaholic.

We buy too much stuff. And when we stopped buying by less than 4% -- the whole economy collasped. Doesn't this sound strange to you. Now we want to fix it creating legislation that is 647 pages. I don't know. I think God gave us ten fingers for a reason. If a program has more than ten components -- it's probably too complicated.

I don't blame President Obama as I could not always place blame on Bush. It is our legislative branch that is out of control. They don't care about the people -- only enough to help them get re-elected.

ma am's picture

road building lobby

Trouble with the road building thing is, the money goes to the states. TN, for instance, has nearly the largest mileage of roads per capita, and we spend near the most in the nation per capita compared to other states. If the money does indeed go only to road repair, I might be on board. But if it goes to building new roads then this will do more harm than good.

I have also heard it mentioned that road building won't be particularly helpful for women's economic recovery, as only a few flag wavers and administrative assistants will be stimulated.

mjw's picture

More than road building

That's why the package contains money to keep schools from laying off teachers and administrative workers and state and local governments from laying off employees at all levels. It has money for mass transit to keep systems from cutting service and laying off bus and train drivers. It has money for building schools and retrofitting government buildings for energy efficiency, for weatherizing low-moderate income housing and public housing. There's money for science, IT, and energy infrastructure.

There are jobs (saved and new) for women as well as men when you look at the package as a whole.

I agree, though, that I hope we don't get a lot of new construction when the states get hold of the road building money, in particular. Replacing an old bridge is ok, building a new bridge to nowhere, not so much.

Elrod's picture

Who do you think repairs the roads

Consumers. That's who. It's definitely stimulative.

KC's picture

I have a question for loyal

I have a question for loyal Democrats.

While I can see the importance of reaching out to Republicans, will there come a time when President Obama lowers the boom and plays hardball?

To hear Republicans right now, from Sen. Corker's claim there will have to be "huge, huge" changes in the stimulus bill, to others saying each increase in funding for say, Head Start, has to be matched with a cut somewhere, or the Republicans oppostition to the parts of the bill that start the country on a new course with new, long term, federal programs to meet the country's needs, it seems that Republicans either didn't read the newspapers on Nov. 5, or they just don't care, and they think they can still make things run as if they had won.

When will Obama say "Enough!", or is President Obama and the Democrats allowing the Republicans to walk into a trap?

reform4's picture

Obama needs to start a search

Rachel's picture

While I can see the

While I can see the importance of reaching out to Republicans, will there come a time when President Obama lowers the boom and plays hardball?

The President said the other day "I'm an enternal optimist, but I'm not a sap."

I think that pretty much sums up what you can expect from him in the future.

StaceyDiamond's picture

health care

I didn't know until the Sentinel criticized it that there is part of the stimulus that helps the unemployed with their health care. That would help those without insurance be healthier as well as have fewer money worries.

reform4's picture

Cobra Assistance

Basically, it pays the portion of the increased COBRA premiums to replace what the employer was paying before you were fired.

e.g., if your health care cost your employer $500 a month, you paid $200 and the employer paid $300, and you were laid off, COBRA costs you $500. With the stimulus plan, you'd still pay $200, and the gov't would pick up the $300 portion for a limited period of time (I think 18 months) or until you got a new job with health insurance.

John King's picture

COBRA not fair in the Stimulus Bill

If you were laid off before September 1, 2008 then you DON't get the subsidy. Now that is a rip off!! Looks like I get reamed again. How come the politicians get credit for helping with COBRA, when in reality it only for newly laidoff workers...

Arghhh.. I'm furious.

JK

Nobody's picture

There talking about giving

There talking about giving child tax credit of $5,000 dollars to kids under 17. How about the kids that are now trying to get throw college. The money we had put back in stock to pay their college is gone. I think this should be a factor. It's not fair.

Tommy T's picture

What is tucked inside the bill that few are talking about...

(link...)

“The bill’s health rules will affect “every individual in the United States” (445, 454, 479). Your medical treatments will be tracked electronically by a federal system. But the bill goes further. One new bureaucracy, the National Coordinator of Health Information Technology, will monitor treatments to make sure your doctor is doing what the federal government deems appropriate and cost effective.”

KC's picture

“The bill’s health rules

“The bill’s health rules will affect “every individual in the United States” (445, 454, 479). Your medical treatments will be tracked electronically by a federal system. But the bill goes further. One new bureaucracy, the National Coordinator of Health Information Technology, will monitor treatments to make sure your doctor is doing what the federal government deems appropriate and cost effective.”

Yeah, yeah, this line was called in to the Neal Boorz show yesterday claiming that this meant that the federal government would let you kill grandma because the government would deem it "appropirate and cost effective."

Hate to tell you this, but in most medical cases someone is already deciding whether the care you get is "appropriate and cost effective," if they're paying for it.

I don't think these types of "the federal government is a death factory" conspiracy theories will get much attention here, other than being labeled as conservative hysterical tripe.

R. Neal's picture

So what? Advanced medical

medical treatments will be tracked electronically

So what? Advanced medical records technology was a keystone of McCain's campaign. Both Corker and Alexander have said they support it. This is a made up scare tactic to inflame the conservatives over "socialized medicine." It does nothing more than what Medicare is already doing for the most part.

MDB's picture

Not just Medicare

Or people under the VA health care system, for that matter.

Voting is like driving. If you want to go backwards, select R. If you want to go forward, select D.

Tommy T's picture

So am I to understand folks

So am I to understand folks here on Knoxviews have no issue with the federal government encroaching on every aspect of your life? Let me be clear…this is not a Democrat vs. Republican thing; this is about the second string bench warmers controlling every last aspect of your life. If you have no problem with that type of life style you’re in for a treat. If you have traveled the world and lived among an autocratic or socialist society you know what is coming and it is not the warm fuzzy sitcom congress is painting for us on TV every night.
So while you’re sitting on your hands waiting on your government check to come do the math….if you spent one million dollars each day starting on the birth date of Jesus Christ to today’s date…you still will not have spent what congress is planning to spend in the recovery package.

R. Neal's picture

I don't have any issue,

I don't have any issue, because it's a lot of made up nonsense.

tennesseevaluesauthority's picture

do the math….if you spent

do the math….if you spent one million dollars each day starting on the birth date of Jesus Christ to today’s date…you still will not have spent what congress is planning to spend in the recovery package.

Fortunately, that's not what the recovery plan is. Nor is the recovery plan about building a 600-mile tower of 100 dollar bills or wrapping a belt of 100 dollar bills around the equator 30-odd times or any of the other silliness that the opposition seems to be spouting off lately.

It seems as if the entire argument for the opposition has been reduced to, "Oooooh, big numbers! Big numbers scary! Big numbers! Do you realize this is what you would get if you gave every head of cattle in Wyoming $597,000 dollars?" (No really, I looked it up.)

John Stewart has a better take on it here.

Math is fun, isn't it?
Here. Let's play some more.

How much is 4 billion dollars?
A. The amount removed from the bill that would have provided additional food stamp benefits to families with low incomes (because eating doesn't create jobs...except for the people who grow, package, ship, and sell food, but whatever...)
B. The cost of maintaining the US military in Iraq for 3 days in 2008.
C. All of the above.

KC's picture

So am I to understand folks

So am I to understand folks here on Knoxviews have no issue with the federal government encroaching on every aspect of your life?

Nope, I don't have an issue with it.

Nobody's picture

You already get a hand out

You already get a hand out from the working people via the government so you don't care.

Tommy T's picture

Gary, Please explain your

Gary,

Please explain your reply. And again...this is not a republican / democratic thing. This is about the US Congress being the most exclusive country club on the planet and its members wanting to keep it that way.

Thanks Gary.

KC's picture

You already get a hand out

You already get a hand out from the working people via the government so you don't care.

Huh?

KC's picture

B. The cost of maintaining

B. The cost of maintaining the US military in Iraq for 3 days in 2008.

Don't forget to add it up.

According to Stiglitz and Bilmes it will be about $3 trillion.

Add that to Bush doubling the national debt from about $5 trillion to $10 trillion.

After hearing Republican Congressmen criticizing the bankers today, I tried to remember how often the CEOs of Haliburton were in front of Congress being admonished about how they spend the "taxpayers'" money.

Er, none?

KC's picture

Gary, Please explain your

Gary,

Please explain your reply. And again...this is not a republican / democratic thing. This is about the US Congress being the most exclusive country club on the planet and its members wanting to keep it that way.

Thanks Gary.

Sorry, I don't do requests. Especially those that I have no idea what they're asking.

Tommy T's picture

Gary, maybe you can get one

Gary, maybe you can get one of those government jobs?

KC's picture

Gary, maybe you can get one

Gary, maybe you can get one of those government jobs?

But then I'd have to compete with all those "government is not the answer" conservative Republicans who are always angling for those "government jobs."

Tommy T's picture

Gary, Жертвенный

Gary,

Жертвенный ягненок

Good luck.

KC's picture

Gary, Жертвенный

Gary,

Жертвенный ягненок

Good luck.

Indeed.

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