Thu
Nov 1 2012
09:50 am
By: R. Neal  shortURL

Five days before the election, and on the last day of early voting in Tennessee, the 538 blog now has Obama with a 79% chance of winning the election v. 21% for Romney. The electoral vote forecast is 300.4 to 237.6 in favor of Obama. The national polls have it much closer, but the polls that count at this point are in the battleground states.

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Current Vegas odds: Obama

Current Vegas odds: Obama -190 / Romney +155. (Translated: 65% implied probability of win to Obama)

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