The Knox County Health Department reports
10,089 coronavirus cases and 438 probable cases.
That's 499 new cases in the past week,
That's a 5.2% increase over a week ago.
There are 43 Knox County COVID-19 patients currently hospitalized.
Four more than a week ago.
There have been 84 total deaths in Knox County from COVID-19.
Three deaths due to COVID-19 in the past week.
That's a 4% increase in deaths in the past week (81 as of September 26).
5 in the 18-44 age group (6%)
20 in the 45-64 age group (24%)
20 in the 65-74 age group (24%)
39 in the 75+ age group (46%)
Tests conducted on Knox County residents are dropping again,
3,680 week of Sept. 20, 4,223 week of Sept 13, 4,243 week of Sept. 6, 4,388 week of August 30, 3,660 week of August 23, 4,139 week of August 16, 4,150 week of August 9, 4,567 week of August 2, 4,412 week of July 19, 4,219 week of July 26
as compared to the higher number of tests done at the end of June and the first two weeks of July,
4,425 week of June 28, 5,401 week of July 5, 5,994 week of July 12.
As of September 29, 2020, ICU Bed availability is at 13.7%. (278 ICU beds total with 38 beds available) .
ICU bed availability is down over 4% as compared to last week.
(Note, the week of 9/1/2020, ICU bed capacity was 278, then the week of 9/8/2020, ICU bed capacity was raised to 374, then the week of Sept. 22 ICU bed capacity has been reduced back down to 278.)
(Note, prior to the 8/4/2020 report, ICU bed capacity was 272. It would appear that Knox County hospitals have increased ICU bed capacity by 6 beds.)
The County Health Department has a map with the number of coronavirus cases per zip code.
On October 1, 2020, these zip codes were reported with the most cases:
(last reported on September 24)
37916 has the most cases with 820 cases (population 12,507) (4.2% increase)
37918 with 794 cases (population 44,476) (3.9% increase)
37920 with 754 cases (population 39,000) (0.9% decrease)
37921 with 678 cases (population 28,000) (3.6% decrease)
37919 with 539 cases (population 28,000) (1.8% decrease)
37922 with 508 cases (population 41,539) (4.5% decrease)
37917 with 478 cases (population 27,000) (0.2% decrease)
37923 with 454 cases (population 30,000) (2.8% decrease)
Be careful out there.
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Uptick
There should have been an uptick based on the size of the crowd and the amount of potential spread within the first group whatever we're calling the people actively involved in the spreading of covid that were in the balcony during the first readings of Ward and Biggs ordinances to strip the Board of Health of the power necessary to make public health decisions.
If, in fact, what looks like the beginning of that tic holds and vectors out, we should see a surge (major? minor? Hard to say) based on what indeed happens when it vectors out. We know north Knox county has an issue with a minor outbreak. We don't know if they brought it downtown and how effective they will be at infecting the whole community. This weekends numbers suggest they were mildly effective at bringing it downtown, let's hope the numbers will show they were less effective getting it to vector out and create a surge of community spread.
Use caution the next few weeks. We have two potential spreading events (the second commission meeting and the football game) working through our community as well. Please wear a mask. The more they are studied, the more effective their use is shown, statistically, to be. Hopefully, we will soon be at a time when figuring out exactly why and how that is the case will be a most effective use of our covid scientists time. Until then take confidence in the fact that wearing a mask is the best one can do as an individual, and clearly the most effective way as a community of battling this disease.
Watch the daily new cases and total active cases this week, and keep your fingers crossed.
Hospitizations
It is being reported that hospitalizations jumped by 6 to 50 in Knox County today. It is relevant to remember that hospitalizations are a trailing statistics, generally reflecting the events from 4-6 weeks ago. Deaths from this period will start showing in about two weeks.
Apologies
I started mapping the zip code areas tonight. I should have brought up causation last night. We'll start seeing the South Carolina Game and phase out of the Commission planning hearing tomorrow. The zip codes will bear less relevance, I think, in football related transmission.