Mon
May 8 2006
09:29 pm

In the world of television there is a phrase that describes desperation and stupidity, the point where the show tips towards oblivion. That phrase is “jumping the shark”. This comes from the long running series “Happy Days” where in the final season the script writers were so desperate for a bit for sweeps week they had Fonzie (Catch phrase “Aaaay”) water skiing over a ski jump where he jumped over a shark.

In Knoxville City Government the equivalent of “jumping the shark” is, “Where is the glass dome”? This signifies the point in time when City Government (Catch phrase “If you build it they will come”) loses their ability to know when a project will work.

My only question for the South Knox Riverfront project is, “Where is the glass dome”?

All across America local governments are implementing impact fees so new development will pay for some of the new infrastructure costs. Not in Knoxville. Mayor Haslam has announced the first reverse impacts fees in American. The taxpayers pay for the roads, additional parking, parks, and greenways that the developer would normally pay for. So how will it be decided which developers win this taxpayer lottery and gets this special treatment? Good question.

The proposal for the South Knox Riverfront project works like this; TIF’s will be used for roads, additional parking, parks, and greenways. The infrastructure needed for new development.

You may ask why the Mayor would suggest TIF’s instead of bonds or more traditional financing methods. The City can’t. They already jumped the shark. All of the previous “If you build it they will come” failures make it impossible to use bonds. Even if they could be issued who in their right mind would buy them? The only avenue (suckers) left are the taxpayers.

Why do the developers that never win this lottery not sue the City? It seems unfair that only a very select few receive this benefit when everyone else has to do it the old fashioned way. The Robin Hood concept is supposed to work the other way around. Hint, you are supposed to rob from the rich and give to the poor.

The most obvious flaw in this plan is the needed 139 million dollars of taxpayer investment. Here is what supposedly the private developers will do in return:

2,500 new residential units
421,700 square feet of retail space
60,000 square feet of restaurant space
1 million square feet of office space
160 hotel rooms
225 marina boat slips
135,000-square-foot cultural/civic institution
700 garage parking spaces
790 on-street parking spaces
450 off-street parking spaces
11,750 linear feet of new roads
11,000 linear feet of improved roads
51.3 acres of new parks and greenways
1 whitewater kayak course

The whitewater kayak course qualifies as the “glass dome”. It is self-explanatory.

Is this as stupid as the Worsham Watkins glass dome for the Market Square? I don’t think so. More on the scale of Universe Knoxville but three times as expensive. Before the pack attacks and claims I am “an aginer” can we look at some of the really really stupid parts of this plan?

The 135,000-square-foot cultural/civic institution is completely asinine. Less than two miles away we already have one of those and it ain’t doing so great.

1 million square feet of office space will really help the downtown office market. I am sure that every building owner and real estate firm is just jazzed about this idea. That is enough for a 400 square foot office for each of the 2500 condo residents. Jump that shark Mayor.

421,700 square feet of retail space is enough for 281 trendy boutiques. The merchants on Market Square are going to love this.

60,000 square feet of restaurant space can provide 30 new restaurants to finish off the restaurants in Market Square and the Old City.

Let’s review, the City of Knoxville has spent over 280 million taxpayer dollars trying to revive and restore downtown Knoxville and NOW they suggest spending another 139 million taxpayer dollars to kill all economic activity downtown and move it across the river?

May I make a suggestion; shouldn’t we have a voter referendum on this rather than allowing City Council a few votes to make the decision?

Ask yourself these simple questions:

Is it the TRUTH?

Is it FAIR to all concerned?

Will it build GOODWILL and BETTER FRIENDSHIPS?

Will it be BENEFICIAL to all concerned?

Number9's picture

Cities can go bankrupt, more

Your analogy/metaphor is bad. A city can't be cancelled. A TV show can.

Cities can go bankrupt, more than 500 municipalities have done exactly that.

(link...)

Knoxville has a spending problem. The fact that the City cannot issue bonds SHOULD be a signal to deal with that problem. Apparently the City is in denial.

spintrep's picture

cities can go bankrupt

All part of our elaborate plan to default with all our debts to OUR OTHER government with the larger potential revenue pool... this should play out nicely. 

Car Guy's picture

huh?

#9 said "... The fact that the City cannot issue bonds SHOULD be a signal to deal with that problem. Apparently the City is in denial.. . ."

 Where'd you come up with the city having an inability to issue bonds?

rikki's picture

bonds

The bond market killed the Universe Knoxville project. The city has the ability to issue bonds, but its debt rating is so poor due to the Convention Center that it would have a hard time selling them. This is one of the valid points lurking inside the PubIX's muddle-brained fare.

Car Guy's picture

Universe Knoxville and bonds

Rikki said: 

"The bond market killed the Universe Knoxville project. The city has the ability to issue bonds, but its debt rating is so poor due to the Convention Center that it would have a hard time selling them. This is one of the valid points lurking inside the PubIX's muddle-brained fare."

Universe Knoxville was almost exclusively a county project; on the government end, it was killed by Mike Ragsdale. UK has nothing to do with what #9 said or the city's bond rating. #9 simply said it was a "fact" that the city cannot issue bonds.

BTW, what is the city's bond rating?

Number9's picture

Universe Knoxville was the dumbest idea ever

Universe Knoxville was almost exclusively a county project; on the government end, it was killed by Mike Ragsdale. UK has nothing to do with what #9 said or the city's bond rating. #9 simply said it was a "fact" that the city cannot issue bonds.

It is an urban myth that Mayor Ragsdale killed Universe Knoxville. It was killed by the bond market. The bonds could not be issued.

Here is another opinion:

(link...)

It's also generally believed that the city has no more "debt capacity" in terms of the usual municipal bonds form of financing because of the massive Convention Center debt burden left for the taxpayers by the previous administration. Which is a shame, because there are projects with great potential for the city, including the Worlds Fair Park site and the South Waterfront, and this makes it tougher to fund them.

Universe Knoxville was the dumbest idea ever approved by both City Council and County Commission. It would have been a dismal failure even worse than the Convention Center or the Women's Basketball Hall of Fame.

Our government is clearly not capable of making sound financial decisions. Their track record in the last ten years is pathetic. Gambling with taxpayer dollars is unacceptable. If there were two real newspapers in this town we would not have these problems.

What is needed is an intervention. But with only 14% voter turnout there can be no intervention.

Ask yourself these questions:

Will you shop at these stores?

Will you eat in these restaurants?

Will you lease office space in these buildings?

Will you buy one of these condos?

Wouldn't be simpler for the City to control its spending habits and stop funding every get rich scheme that comes down the pike?

Car Guy's picture

the "fact"

So #9, where is it a "fact" that the city can't issue bonds?

Number9's picture

So #9, where is it a "fact"

So #9, where is it a "fact" that the city can't issue bonds?

I do not know it is a "fact". You wrote that, not I. I gave my opinion bonds can not be used. rikki said pretty much the same as did R. Neal.

The City could issue the bonds. Would you purchase them? Would anyone?

Why did Universe Knoxville fail? No bonds. Why is the City looking at using TIF's? Why did they not suggest using bonds like all other municipalities? Because they cannot. I don't know if that makes it a "fact". Sounds like it does.

A few things to look at:

(link...)

(link...)

If you want a more optimistic viewpoint go here:

(link...)

But even there is this disclaimer:

One rub in this analysis is that much of the private development can be expected to occur subsequent to the completion of infrastructure and amenities needed to support it. So the city might have to proceed with other sources of financing during the time gap. But any such debt could be retired and replaced with TIF–backed borrowing as soon as the incremental tax revenues become available.

Mayor Bill Haslam has repeatedly stressed that south waterfront development will be “market driven,” meaning that public improvements will be made only as private development commitments warrant them. But that is easier said than done. Realignment of the James White Parkway’s interchange with Sevier Avenue is considered a prerequisite to making the waterfront area more accessible from the east, as is a new underpass beneath the Norfolk Southern tracks at the area’s western perimeter. Beyond that, creation of a riverwalk traversing the entire, three-mile expanse of waterfront has become a signature feature of the project, and erecting the segment that will jut over the water at the foot of the bluff below Baptist Hospital is on a fast track without any TIF revenue in prospect to support it.

Market driven my ass. I would love to see a real marketing study to support this project's break-even. Are we to believe the people of South Knoxville will shop in these stores? Really? Where will the customers come from?

They will not come from West Knoxville. Has anyone looked seriously at how these shops, stores, and restaurants are to survive with only 2500 condos, the downtown residents, and South Knoxville residents? Edens, you love to quote demographics, do you believe?

IF it were true the developers would be there of their own accord. They would not demand these concessions. Grow up.

Please remember the projections for the Knoxville Convention Center and the Women's Basketball Hall of Fame.

Keep in mind there are 177661 residents in Knoxville and 389327 in Knox County. Knoxville has staggering debt. How many crazy ideas must be approved to see there is a spending problem. You can wish this was not so, but it is what it is.

I have seen a lot of mixed use plans. This is not a good one for a city the size of Knoxville with the debt load that Knoxville currently has. It would be different if Knoxville had not built two colossal failures. It would be different if Universe Knoxville had not been approved. It would be different if Knoxville had not considered covering Market Square with a glass dome. Which by the way, Gemini once said was stopped by k2k. If that is true then good for k2k. Where are they now when they are really needed?

If a family member had a spending problem like the City does what would you do? Let them continue spending into bankruptcy? Or would you intervene? At this time with the current financial conditions in Knoxville the risk is too great for the taxpayers.

The idea of the project is not the problem. The plan is the problem. It is too much too soon and has too much risk.

The voters should be allowed to vote in a referendum to approve a project of this scope and term.

Car Guy's picture

the "fact"

Here's what you (#9) wrote in the post entitled :

Submitted by Number9 on Mon, 2006/05/08 - 8:54pm.

"The fact that the City cannot issue bonds SHOULD be a signal to deal with that problem. Apparently the City is in denial."

You were the one who said it was a "fact; " I didn't put any words in your mouth.

So, what's the "fact"?

Andy Axel's picture

Cognitive dysfunction

Two hours ago: What is needed is an intervention. But with only 14% voter turnout there can be no intervention.

Twenty minutes ago: The voters should be allowed to vote in a referendum to approve a project of this scope and term.

So what exactly is the prescription here?

____________________________

Wasabi peas are people! They're people!

Drake's picture

Please remember the

Please remember the projections for the Knoxville Convention Center and the Women's Basketball Hall of Fame.

I think it's fair to point out those were on Victor's watch, but I do also believe that's a fair criticism of spending tax dollars without realistic expectations

Rachel's picture

"Please remember the

"Please remember the projections for the Knoxville Convention Center and the Women's Basketball Hall of Fame."

I think it's fair to point out those were on Victor's watch, but I do also believe that's a fair criticism of spending tax dollars without realistic expectations.

Drake:  The WWI downtown stuff was on Victor's watch too.  Mayor Haslam has very carefully, from day 1 on this effort, insisted that the plan not only be a good vision of what the community wants, but also feasible and realistic  (in fact, there's been a few times when I've wished he hadn't put quite so much emphasis on the feasible part). 

The way this project is being conducted - in terms of both meaningful public participation and emphasis on financial responsibility - is very different from the way all the other projects mentioned were approached.  We can - and should - debate the details, but the City deserves high praise for its approach.

Really truly going back to work now.

 

Bill Lyons's picture

Bond Clarification

Rikki said "The bond market killed the Universe Knoxville project. The city has the ability to issue bonds, but its debt rating is so poor due to the Convention Center that it would have a hard time selling them."

The city has a good bond rating by any stretch and it is perfectly capable of issuing bonds at a very competitive price. It has not done so since 2004 by choice. The city bonded indebtedness is thus decreasing every year. The ratings are Fitch (AA+), Moody's (Aa) and S&P (AA). There are not that many cities with triple A ratings. Also, FYI, finger annexations were eliminated in the growth policy act and have been illegal for a number of years.

Rachel's picture

Just so you know, I ain't

Just so you know, I ain't gonna bite. There are many, many aspects of this effort that have been discussed at length by the consultants, the Oversight Committee, the general public, and Council. There are others, like the financial plan, that are just now starting to be discussed, and will undergo a lot of scutiny in the next few months.

I welcome reasonable discussion with reasonable people. Unfortunately, I know better than to even start discussing this with you.

Sad, because there's some good stuff in what you wrote. But like I said, I'm not gonna bite.

Ta.

spintrep's picture

TMJ

anytime gemini says she won't bite, ya know she's got somethin to say.

we know about the backround in planning, and nothin says backyard like this one.

forget the 9inespout, how bout starting your own thread with a full report on where you see this now and where it might be going? (or a link if you already posted the same somewhere.)

Will this project distract focus on getting the Coster Shop redevelopment projects on track?  Will the major downtown Interstate improvements be finished before tearing up more roads in s. Knoxville?

rikki's picture

omg

Mayor Haslam has announced the first reverse impacts fees in American. The taxpayers pay for the roads, additional parking, parks, and greenways that the developer would normally pay for.

Impact fees are an attempt to get developers to pay for roads, sewers, schools, parks the government normally pays for. This is not a "first," nor is it a "reverse" of anything. 

Number9's picture

It is a first

Impact fees are an attempt to get developers to pay for roads, sewers, schools, parks the government normally pays for. This is not a "first," nor is it a "reverse" of anything.

It is a first. Everywhere else the developers pay for additional parking and greenways as part of the development. They often pay for part of the roadwork. Cities will not grant zoning approval unless the developer pays their way. Except of course in Knoxville. Does Maryville do government this way?

What the City is doing is granting favoritism to a select group of developers and it is using taxpayer money to do so. It is discrimination against all of the other developers. This is not the role of government.

If that is not bad enough the City is indirectly subsiding the businesses that will lease space in this project. By saving the developers millions of dollars by using taxpayer money via TIF's the cost of the project is reduced for the developers. Of course the developers could just take the money so it is difficult to know for sure if that would materialize in lower lease payments for the business owners. Does it matter? This is not the role of government.

How long did Market Square have to wait for a parking garage? How long did downtown have to wait for parking? But these developers get everything on the front end with taxpayer dollars? Sounds like a first to me.

Also sounds like discrimination to me. The role of government is not to play favorites with taxpayer money.

Andy Axel's picture

The role of government is

The role of government is not to play favorites with taxpayer money.

BWAH! HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!! Whoo!

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!

Oh, oh, oh... [giggle] [snort]

Hee.

Good one.

____________________________

Wasabi peas are people! They're people!

rikki's picture

Cities will not grant zoning

Cities will not grant zoning approval unless the developer pays their way. Except of course in Knoxville. Does Maryville do government this way?

Knox, Blount and most counties approve most rezonings that come before them. Most planning boards and local legislatures are dominated by developers. A developer might pay for a turn lane on the public road on the edge of their new subdivision, but they never pay for major roadway upgrades like the widening of Middlebrook Pike near Lovell Rd, nor do they pay for upgrades to sewer lines. They don't contribute toward the cost of building schools to service the kids who live in their developments, nor do they pay for flood control necessitated by all the impervious surfaces in their projects.

Subsidized infrastructure is business as usual all over this country because developers typically control majorities on councils and commissions and planning boards. It's a discriminatory process, but not in the way you claim. It discriminates against taxpayers and favors developers. Impact fees offer a way to correct that bias, but they are not an issue in this case because they don't exist in Knoxville or Knox County.

bizgrrl's picture

This makes too much sense. I

This makes too much sense. I didn't know there was anyone around here that would deflate this balloon. But, alas, not to worry. The retail , restaurants, and office buildings will be the last to be built, if ever. It's all about the CONDOS!!!!!

MJ's picture

You ask not be called "an

You ask not be called "an aginner", or basically a pessimist, about this plan but that's almost exactly what you are.  Some would look at the South Knox project as the city trying to right past wrongs by looking 20 years in advance to an area that can sustain projected growth of the downtown area.  I'm kind of glad the city is actually having some foresight here and has a plan for South Knoxville.  This is a merely a plan at this stage, and it obviously will involve many stages throughout the 20 year process.  I seriously doubt the end result will be anything close to what is on paper now, but I am glad they are even thinking about it now before unplanned development for that area takes off and undesirable or destructive uses for the property take place.  I think the plan is more of a way to make sure the south waterfront across from downtown makes the most sense for the city as a whole.  In 20 years it should be growing and thriving with downtown, not in spite of downtown.  This is a complement to what hopefully downtown is becoming, not an alternative to it.  I think you have totally misinterpretted the whole basis and reasoning behind the plan. 

That said, if the area's growth can't support the infrastructure planned, it's a bad idea.  But, if downtown thrives in the next 5 years, condo space there ends up being limited and prices start skyrocketing, is not the south waterfront a great place to expand to?  If the growth isn't there in 5 years not even one fourth of the south waterfront plan would be implemented yet so it could easily be scaled back to fit best with the needs at that time.  By spreading the project out over 20 years is the city not being more thoughtful and concise than it was in past projects?  Maybe it's not, but it seems the city government is playing this pretty safe to me and not being careless, as you try to imply.

That's just how one layman sees it anyway.

Number9's picture

You ask not be called "an

You ask not be called "an aginner", or basically a pessimist, about this plan but that's almost exactly what you are. Some would look at the South Knox project as the city trying to right past wrongs by looking 20 years in advance to an area that can sustain projected growth of the downtown area. I'm kind of glad the city is actually having some foresight here and has a plan for South Knoxville.

Ever hear of private enterprise? Risk and return? Return on investment? How is it that the Turkey Creek shopping oasis was developed without TIF's, bribes, kickbacks, taxpayer investment for parking garages and greenways? There is 58 nature reserve and greenways that were created with DEVELOPER DOLLARS. What a concept.

Turkey Creek in is Knoxville City. That's right, in the City.

So why did those developers not get their fair share of graft?

Without government largess (or interference) Turkey Creek is one of the great retail success stories in the Southeast.

You charge that the City should "right past wrongs" in South Knoxville. What were those "wrongs"?

I am not an aginner nor a pessimist. I am a pragmatist. How many times will it take before the taxpayers learn "IF YOU BUILD IT THEY WILL NOT COME". How are the Knoxville Convention Center and the Women's Basketball Hall of Shame doing now?

If you want to be an optimist (sucker) they go right ahead. It takes a lot more than 2500 people in condos to support 421,700 square feet of retail space and 60,000 square feet of restaurant space.

Will you come mjcheese? Will you spend your dollars in the South Knox River Wonderland? Because if you don't, and if tens of thousands of other people don't, this is our next Convention Center. It will break Knoxville.

It is not the role of government to interfere with business. Government cannot create markets. They cannot create interest or excitement to go shopping or dinning. It is beyond the ability of government.

If this idea is sound private enterprise will want to do it without the taxpayer subsidy.

If private development will not do the project without massive taxpayer subsidies that is the canary in the coal mine. It means it is not the time for this idea.

rikki's picture

omg

The greenways and nature reserve at Turkey Creek were concessions by the developer given in exchange for state permits that let the developer operate outside legal limits intended to protect water quality and prevent flooding. The nature reserve was supposed to be a full-fledged educational center similar to Ijams, but the developer blew that off and stuck a few signs here and there.

Rachel's picture

Told you guys not to bite.

Told you guys not to bite.

Number9's picture

Finger annexations should be illegal

Yes, Turkey Creek is in the City ... as part of a finger annexation. Do you support finger annexations?

No, I do not support finger annexations. Finger annexations should be illegal. In this case the City receives millions of dollars of sales taxes the County should have.

were concessions the developers had to make to get to build the place.

Do you mean that outside Knoxville City proper that developers have to make concessions? But inside Knoxville City proper the City must make concessions? So the market must be very poor if the City has to make concessions?

This is why the City keeps failing time after time. Government cannot create markets no matter how hard they may try.

How many failures must there be until the taxpayers learn?

edens's picture

(link...)

"A development company known as Turkey Creek Land Partners (TCLP) had procured for $7 million a parcel of property west of Lovell Road, bound by Kingston Pike, I-40/75 and Campbell Station Road. Their plan was to develop restaurants, stores, hotels, a hospital and more. But what they needed was a 2.5-mile extension of Parkside Drive through the property to connect with Campbell Station Road. When approached with the plan, the City of Knoxville, which in the mid-’80s had annexed Parkside Drive and the stretch of land that would be its logical continuation, approved the allocation of $4.1 million to build the road, sewers, storm drains and other necessary infrastructure.

The developers asked Knox County and the Town of Farragut to contribute an additional $1.45 million. The property’s owners were “donating” the right of way, buffer zone and design work equal to $4.5 million. In return, property taxes generated by the development—estimated at the time to be more than $8 million a year—would return to the local governments in time."

MJ's picture

Call me in 20 years...

...#9, consider it a date.  We'll do a little whitewater kayaking, grab lunch, shop and then hop on the light rail back up to Gay St. for a movie.

R. Neal's picture

Are the city's higher rated

Are the city's higher rated bonds for utility improvements, which are practically guaranteed a return based on rates?

Bill Lyons's picture

bonds

The rating is for all bonded indebtedness incurred by the city government. KUB has it own AA bond rating, I believe.

Number9's picture

So why are the infrastructure costs so high?

That's 4.3 miles of road. Not much given the areal extent.

Not much road, so why are the infrastructure costs so high?

By the way, there are so many goofy parts of this plan, why are you not suggesting that the most goofy parts be tabled?

edens's picture

>Why did they not suggest

>Why did they not suggest using bonds like all other municipalities?

Why do you continue to demostrate a profound grasp of municipal finance by insisting that using Tax Increment Financing to support public infrastructure for redevelopment is some unprecedented thing?

(link...)

If anything, it is more unusual to use TIFs as a gap financing tool for private development, as Knoxville has done in downtown loft development.

Besides, I thought the plan was to acquire the whole south waterfront via eminent domain and sell it to KP for a nickel?

R. Neal's picture

I think what 9 is referring

Why do you continue to demostrate a profound grasp of municipal finance by insisting that using Tax Increment Financing to support public infrastructure for redevelopment is some unprecedented thing?

I think what 9 is referring to is a TIF for infrastructure improvements from the city to itself, which the local paper reports is the first time Knoxville has done that.

edens's picture

>I think what 9 is referring

>I think what 9 is referring to is a TIF for infrastructure improvements >from the city to itself, which the local paper reports is the first >time Knoxville has done that.

The pertinent language from 9's initial post:

"All across America local governments are implementing impact fees so new development will pay for some of the new infrastructure costs. Not in Knoxville. Mayor Haslam has announced the first reverse impacts fees in American. The taxpayers pay for the roads, additional parking, parks, and greenways that the developer would normally pay for."

R. Neal's picture

Oh. OK, then.

Oh. OK, then.

edens's picture

Regarding Hayes' point that

Regarding Hayes' point that this is the first time Knoxville has used TIFs for infrastructure, doesn't it seem like a smarter play in the long run for the city to dedicate the tax revenue from a particular private development (or within a development district) to pay for things like roads and parks rather than to help cover the developer's debt load?

And isn't it interesting that the city is operating under the assumption that said private developers won't need TIFs to cover any gaps in their project financing?

Of course this'll no doubt kill downtown, just as the boom in downtown's condo market has caused 4th and Gill and Old North property values to plummet.

Number9's picture

I think what 9 is referring to...

I think what 9 is referring to is a TIF for infrastructure improvements >from the city to itself, which the local paper reports is the first >time Knoxville has done that.

You are playing dumb, Edens. The KNS said it was a first. I pointed out how it was a first for "additional parking and greenways" which are the responsibility of the developer.

Some road improvements are also the responsibility of the developer. Parks are the responsibility of the City of Knoxville unless the developer offers to create a park as an incentive in order to get the deal.

By the way, that is how it works in the County. The developer gives the incentives not the government. You are not used to that system are you?

But you know that don't you? When you parse words so tightly you show a desperation that betrays your intent.

Number9's picture

Just because it is done up North does not make it a good idea

Why do you continue to demostrate a profound grasp of municipal finance by insisting that using Tax Increment Financing to support public infrastructure for redevelopment is some unprecedented thing?

Just because it is done up North, in California and Illinois does not make it a good idea. I can think of several reasons why the City would prefer TIF's as opposed to bonds.

First, you only have to get a rubber stamp vote in City Council.

Second, no matter how many people come to City Council and protest they can be ignored. Remember the Candy Factory, Convention Center, Women's Basketball Hall of Fame, and of course Universe Knoxville?

Third, no pesky third party review of the project like you would get in the bond market.

My grasp of municipal finance is more profound than the people that keep spending Knoxville into the ground. It is too big of a project with the current debt load. Where is the market analysis? Before Turkey Creek was even designed there was significant market research into the feasibility and break even. I notice you are a little slow in your demographic defense of this project. What's wrong?

Let me predict the future, out of state consultants will be hired, they will write a report, it will be glowing and suggest that construction should begin tomorrow. Stop me if you have heard this BEFORE.

Will you shop at these stores, shops, and boutiques? Will you dine at these restaurants?

Andy Axel's picture

Did anyone suggest that the

Did anyone suggest that the way things are done "up North" are better? Please reference this.

Selective reading dysfunction, Metulj. He pulled that from the wiki. He read this sentence and then began frothing...

While some states, such as California and Illinois, have used TIF for decades, many others have only recently passed or amended state laws that allow them to use this tool.

...before he got to this line: Arizona is now the only state without a tax increment financing law.

____________________________

Wasabi peas are people! They're people!

Rachel's picture

It would be different if

It would be different if Knoxville had not considered covering Market Square with a glass dome. Which by the way, Gemini once said was stopped by k2k. If that is true then good for k2k.

Hmm, I don't remember saying exactly that.  But it's at least partly true that citizens opposed to the more ridiculous aspects of the WWI plan (including many k2k participants) helped stop it.  Please remember, however, that the opposition to that plan was founded on the fact that it was a really horrific example of bad, bad, bad urban design, not on objections to infrastructure improvements by the City.  

I'm still not going to get into a back an forth on the South Waterfront plan itself with #9; that's a waste of my time.  Spintrep suggests that I post on it myself, and I'll try to do so at some point, in spite of his not-so-veiled insults.  The problem with that is that much of my time on this effort is being spent actually working on the project - going to working meetings, reading proposals, commenting on them, etc.  It's not left me much time to write long posts about them.

Again, I'd suggest that folks who really want to familiarize themselves with this effort read the stuff on the website (including the original Calthorpe Fregonese feasibility study, the vision plan, and the draft financial plan) and visit the Drop In Center to really understand what is being proposed. 

Three comments - yes, the housing will come first and the rest will follow.  That's basically how it works in the private sector - "retail follows rooftops."  And the City infrastructure support (which I believe is a legitimate role of govt) will be phased in as needed - we're not gonna go drop the entire gob of $$$ at one point in time.  And with or without this plan, development on the waterfront is going to happen - it's already happening.  The only question is whether we want decent, planned development that's friendly to exisiting neighborhoods and opens up to the waterfront to all Knoxvillians or a bunch of unconnected gated communities scattered about.  I vote for the former.

I also want to say that I find it interesting that #9 seems to be in favor of impact fees.  I don't think his "take back the govt." friends would like that much.

 I have to go back to work now.  Come see me Thursday between 4 and 8 at the Drop In Center.

 

Les Jones's picture

Glass dome? I always look

Glass dome? I always look for the visitor's center as the boondoggle marker in Knoxville. There was one in the Sunsphere, one in the waterfront development near the basketball museum, and there have been plans for several others buried in other, abandoned development plans.

Bill Lyons's picture

Visitors Center

It is doing just fine on Gay Street at Summit Hill. WDVX and the Blue Plate Special at noon are great for downtown and the community.

R. Neal's picture

What I find interesting is

What I find interesting is that #9 is such a magnet for discussion. I posted about this yesterday, in hopes of promoting some civil discussion of the financial plan presented by the city. No comments, except inviting everyone to drive over to Sevier Ave. to discuss it.

Previously I sat through the vision plan presentation, and wrote up a detailed summary for everyone who couldn't be there, again in hopes of promoting some civil discussion. There was some, but not really that much interest except arguing about #9 and condos.

I have repeatedly invited residents, participants, officials, candidates, or anyone else interested in this or any other topic to register and blog their comments, observations, opinions, news, etc., or to just join in the conversation in comments, registered or not.

Now we're told we aren't qualified to discuss it because we didn't sit through all the workshops and participate in the city's "openness" and that a forum like this which was intended to be an extension, or a complement, to all the "openness" and "civic discourse" is not part of the program and a waste of time (except people curiously have plenty of time to argue with #9).

It seems the only conversation anyone is interested in pursuing is piling on #9 to parse and nitpick his/her/its arguments.

I guess the moral is that I should just post as #9, and try to sort the wheat from the chaff to see if there is any worthwhile discussion to be had on these issues. Or, just say fuck it, this is indeed a complete waste of time.

Rachel's picture

Sorry Randy. You've asked me

Sorry Randy. You've asked me to post on the SW, and I said I would. Somehow I never find the time to write something up because there's just so much to say. That's my bad.

I don't intend to imply people shouldn't talk about this w/o having read every word that's out there about it. I'm just trying to let interested people to know that a lot of info is out there - and I guess to let people know that #9 doesn't always do his homework.

The digit is just too easy and infuriating a target. That's why I promised not to respond to him.  However, I think some of us fear he can do damage with misinformation (e.g., the City's bond rating) and that's why we can't seem to keep from arguing with him. Sorry about that too.

 Just as soon as I digest the financial plan myself, which may not be till this weekend, I PROMISE to write up a long post about my experience and impressions of this entire project.  For whatever that's worth.

 

rikki's picture

site rules

Lies and falsehoods certainly motivate responses. In some cases, they are violations of the site rules, especially when the liar refuses to apologize or correct himself and just changes the subject. I wonder whether candidates and officials and the like would be more willing to participate here if users showed more respect for the rules.

R. Neal's picture

Lies and falsehoods

Lies and falsehoods certainly motivate responses. In some cases, they are violations of the site rules, especially when the liar refuses to apologize or correct himself and just changes the subject. I wonder whether candidates and officials and the like would be more willing to participate here if users showed more respect for the rules.

That's a good question, Rikki, and an excellent point. (Although a lot of the "lying" allegations seem to be between you and #9, and y'all should work it out even if there is a still pending under advisement ruling by site management, and yes, I noticed and took it seriously, although your interpretation of the rules and charges under same seem like a bit of a stretch).

But look at this. Bill Lyons chimes in on a #9 post, and has no comment on my attempt to discuss the same issue in a rational and civil manner. I guess a more colorful, inflammatory style ala SKB is the way to go to get people talking.

All I'm saying is that I hoped to have less "talk" and more serious discussion at this forum, as opposed to lesbian cheerleaders and so forth, not that there's anything wrong with that, everything in its place and a place for everything and whatnot. All I'm also saying is that dissecting #9's arguments (which, whether you like it or not sometimes makes sense -- a blind pig, a stopped clock, and all that) in minute detail isn't all that serious of a discussion.

Anyway, as I've told several others, the best way to deal with someone you vehemently disagree with is to simply ignore them. If you let them get under your skin, they win.

(Edit: Apparently Bill Lyons and I were cross posting at the same time.)

R. Neal's picture

P.S. Don't get me wrong, I

P.S. Don't get me wrong, I appreciate everyone's participation (see the list of contributors over there on the left) in trying to make this place what it was supposed to be, and for that I thank all of you. I've had a bad day, and that makes me question things from time to time. And no, this thread was not the genesis of my bad day. I do actually have an actual life and work related program activities, among other things to piss me off.

Number9's picture

Now play fair

The digit is just too easy and infuriating a target. That's why I promised not to respond to him. However, I think some of us fear he can do damage with misinformation (e.g., the City's bond rating) and that's why we can't seem to keep from arguing with him. Sorry about that too.

Now play fair. What was the City's bond rating during the Universe Knoxville bond failure? You might be surprised. The City's bond rating is not the issue. The issue is why the City chose to use the TIF method to finance infrastructure. It is curious and needs to be explained.

I for one would like to have someone in the City explain that decision.

Could anyone stand up to the "pack attack" of scrutiny I am routinely confronted with? Each of you makes mistakes just like I do. Yet I do not have a dedicated team to parse every word and look for alternative context. Even Bill Lyons makes mistakes. What would the results be if a team of people parsed Bill's every word? Would they find some mistakes? Yes, they would. In fact in the old days that is exactly what happened.

You can say I am an "aginner" or "anti-government" but that is not true. I just ask better questions than most people. It is just they are considered to be the "wrong" questions.

One of the basic "rules" of conning someone is that they must want what it is that is being offered. I have yet to hear what the people of South Knoxville want. The pack has clearly been conned but that is no surprise.

Gemini referred to the "Calthorpe Fregonese feasibility study".

(link...)

Should we discount everything Gemini writes because she got the name of the company wrong. It is actually Fregonese Calthorpe Associates. Just asking, to be fair and all.

(link...)

Fregonese Calthorpe Associates is a full-service professional land-use planning firm with a strong track record of helping make better cities. We specialize in comprehensive planning, Geographic Information System (GIS) analysis, land-use ordinances, implementation strategies, and innovative public involvement programs and materials. Our clients run the gamut from small-town communities to large, complex metropolitan regions. We travel throughout the United States - and indeed throughout the world - working closely with our clients to help shape the community they want for future generations.

Do the people at Fregonese Calthorpe Associates know anything about what stores, shops, and boutiques will do well at a particular site? How about how much office space is needed and how it will compete with existing office space downtown. What about which restaurants will do well and how this many restaurants will affect the existing restaurants downtown? No, that is not what they do.

Gosh, shouldn't someone think about those questions?

This whole project is being done wrong, ass-backwards if you will. The Turkey Creek model is completely different. In that model, private enterprise hires retail-marketing firms to analyze if a retail project can succeed at a particular site. Private enterprise pays for the concessions to the government to do the project. Private enterprise assumes the risk. Completely opposite of the way Bill Haslam does business.

Gemini says retail follows the rooftops. Really, is that what they teach at UT? There is no need for 139 million dollars of infrastructure if that statement was true. This is a giant mixed-use project that is going forward without any retail market analysis. Gemini, where is the retail market analysis? Who are the anchor tenants? Who has signed commitment letters?

Do you people learn anything from the mistakes of the past? This is the same con that Kinsey Probasco laid down for Market Square. I hate to be so redundant but where are the national anchor tenants for Market Square? Where are the commitment letters?

Misinformation is not the problem. Disinformation is the problem. How many Mickey Mouse con jobs will it take for the people of Knoxville to learn that government projects are not the only way to do this?

I do not understand why the City did not call the Turkey Creek Land Partners to look at this project. Was that too simple a choice? No, we had to hire a bunch of New Urbanists wackos out of Portland, Oregon.

You don’t believe it?

(link...)

May 20, 2003

Fregonese Calthorpe & Associates (FCA), a land-use planning firm that works for many local governments, has threatened legal action against local residents who are upset with what FCA calls "conceptual illustrative plans" for their neighborhood. The company was hired by the City of Martinez (in the east San Francisco Bay area) to help write a land-use plan for the city...

Even though it is just a proposal, the residents realized, the plan has effectively reduced the value of their homes. FCA had argued that the plan was "just a concept" and that any final decision would be made by local governments, not FCA itself. But under California law, anyone who tried to sell their homes would legally obligated to tell potential purchasers that a plan has been proposed that could greatly change the character of the neighborhood or even condemn the house under eminent domain...

Residents of one Martinez neighborhood asked an attorney to write FCA and Contra Costa County, which was sponsoring the planning process, protesting the proposal. "Deliberately choosing an established residential neighborhood as a recommended site for redevelopment is socially irresponsible," wrote the attorney, "and will not be tolerated by my clients." The attorney also questioned "the method by which this recommended plan was established," since there was only one public meeting and the consultant "obviously did not take the time to become familiar with the character of the neighborhoods."

In a reply, an attorney representing FCA agreed to remove the homes of the protesters from the redevelopment area (but not necessarily any other homes or neighborhoods). However, the letter also responded to "allegations" in the first letter that FCA had acted "in an arbitrary manner," that it "obviously did not take time to become familiar with the character of the neighborhoods," and the proposed plan is not "based on any proper study of the neighborhoods."

FCA's attorney stated that FCA "is a well known urban and regional planning consulting firm with an excellent national and even international reputation. . . . Neither my client nor I will tolerate the publication of such unfounded criticisms as are contained in your April 4 letter. . . You are admonished that we will brook no further defamatory accusations by either you or your clients against Fregonese Calthorpe."

Notice that the letter never actually claimed that FCA had taken any time to become familiar with or properly study the neighborhoods. Instead, it relied on FCA's "excellent reputation" as justification for the firm's proposals.

Just what is that reputation? The company's principals include John Fregonese and Peter Calthorpe. Prior to forming a partnership with Calthorpe, Fregonese worked for Metro, the regional planning agency for Portland, Oregon. Metro has two planning divisions, transportation planning and growth-management planning, and Fregonese was the director of the growth-management division. As such, he oversaw the preparation of Metro's 2040 plan, which required the redevelopment of dozens of Portland-area neighborhoods to much higher densities.

Okay pack, I await your scrutiny.

Number9's picture

It is incorrect on the City of Knoxville website

Gemini's "mistake" is probably the result of using her memory to recall something instead of googling it.

No, Gemini's mistake is the same as the City's. It is incorrect on the City of Knoxville website. Did anyone other than me take any time to look at Fregonese Calthorpe Associates?

You are also mistaken (gasp) at what GIS means in regard to Fregonese Calthorpe Associates.

Could you take a moment of your time to review the material before you mistakenly comment? That is so irritating. You just comment without doing any research. These Portland New Urbanists don't know jack about retail marketing.

Fregonese Calthorpe Associates is a full-service professional land-use planning firm
with a strong track record of helping make better cities. We specialize in comprehensive
planning, Geographic Information System (GIS) analysis, land-use
ordinances, implementation strategies, and innovative public involvement programs
and materials. Our clients run the gamut from small-town communities to
large, complex metropolitan regions. We travel throughout the United States -
and indeed throughout the world - working closely with our clients to help shape
the community they want for future generations.

Number9's picture

Take a deep breath and calm down

There isn't a Fortune 500 company in the world that locates a single building where they factor, ship or market their products without consulting a GIS system. As a matter of fact, there is a whole business analyst plugin for Arc9. Yep. Let me fire it up. Yeah, it runs.

I needn't do research on what GIS does. I have a degree in it. What are your credentials?

Take a deep breath and calm down. I know you are very intelligent and educated. I wouldn't waste my time otherwise.

GIS can have a relationship to marketing. Check out the website. There is no mention of ANY retail marketing expertise. Check it out for yourself. They are a land use planning firm.

Where in any of the planning is the retail marketing analysis? Your over reaction makes the point for me.

(link...)

Number9's picture

Digit: I have a friend who

Digit: I have a friend who does business analyst GIS for ... wait for it ... Fregonese Calthorpe.

Where in any of the planning is the retail marketing analysis?

Did they forget?

We all know there has been NO retail marketing analysis.

Could you call your friend and ask him to help us out? Just kidding, we both know that is not possible. So should we now be skeptical of everything you write metulj?

My business card in Slovenia has "Applegate Toby" on it. It's the custom.

Gemini's "mistake" is probably the result of using her memory to recall something instead of googling it.

Kinda embarrassing that everyone has gotten the name wrong for so long because it was wrong on the City website. So no one did ANY due diligence to check out Fregonese Calthorpe?

Gemini, Bill Lyons, this is a rather embarrassing event isn't it? Where is Will Malone when you need him?

R. Neal's picture

#9, I'm surprised you

#9, I'm surprised you haven't mentioned the projected capacity for retail/office/condos/etc. v. the planned capacity in the financial projection report summary.

Number9's picture

Why the dramatic changes in the Vision Plan numbers?

#9, I'm surprised you haven't mentioned the projected capacity for retail/office/condos/etc. v. the planned capacity in the financial projection report summary.

My first thought was to go with the “Vision Plan” numbers (projected capacity) since that was what had been approved by City Council. Now I wonder what happened to so greatly inflate the numbers.

I think the “Estimated Market Study Demand” numbers (planned capacity) are overly ambitious but the “Vision Plan” numbers are just crazy.

The idea of a White Water Kayak Water Park is Universe Knoxville Act II. An aquarium would be a better idea and would be in the same cost range.

The only reason I can think of for the increase in the numbers is that Mayor Haslam made the pledge that the project must be feasible. The 139 million dollar infrastructure number is the same under either the “Vision Plan” numbers or the “Estimated Market Study Demand” numbers. So in order for the Mayor to keep his pledge the numbers had to be inflated.

Is there any other logical answer?

(link...)

Knoxville South Waterfront Redevelopment Summary

Estimated Market Study Demand Numbers

Residential 2,200 Units

Retail 60,000 Square Feet

Restaurant 30,000 Square Feet

Office 400,000 Square Feet

Hotel 100 Rooms

Marina 225 Slips

Cultural / Civic 135,000 Square Feet

Vision Plan Capacity Numbers

Residential 2,500 Units

Retail 421,700 Square Feet

Restaurant 60,000 Square Feet

Office 1,000,000 Square Feet

Hotel 160 Rooms

Marina 225 Slips

Cultural / Civic 135,000 Square Feet

Whitewater Kayak Park 1 Course

Garages 700 Cars

On-Street Parking 790 Cars

Off-Street Parking Lots 450 Cars

New Roads 11,750 Linear Feet

Existing Roads - Upgrades 11,000 Linear Feet

New Parks, Greenways 51.3 Acres

Rachel's picture

Still haven't digested this

Still haven't digested this entire thing, and am in any case waiting to ask questions when the Oversight Committee gets a briefing on May 24 (6 p.m., Small Assembly Room of C/C Bldg; open as always to the public).

But 9's assumption that the numbers were "inflated" assumes the vision plan #s somehow followed the market study #s. As far as I can tell from what I know now, they were arrived at by different methods - i.e., the vision plan is more what folks wanted, the market study #s are derived from, well, a market study. If either followed the other, the market study was done second, so if anything the #s were not "inflated," they were "deflated" to adjust for reality. One would assume that's a good thing.

Also, keep in mind we're looking at a 20 year time frame here. It's extraordinarily difficult to predict what will be happening 10 or 15 years from now. If the initial effort takes off, the upper #s may prove correct - just as building highways always results in more cars on the road and more congestion than any of the original models suggest. If it's not so successful, then the #s will be lower.

Also keep in mind this isn't a single project - it's a projection of how we want to steer "organic" growth. It's not like we're trying to dump this entire thing on the ground in one fell swoop.

Finally, #9 has conveniently not quoted this graph from the financial study: The Vision Plan contains greater redevelopment capacity than the Market Study Demand to allow flexibility for market competition as redevelopment occurs, and to compensate for differing densities as specific projects are built. In addition, the Vision Plan describes a coordinated series of public and private improvements, that could potentially exceed market projections if implemented successfully. The goal is to maximize market potential that will reinforce the principles of the plan, to the benefit of both the public and individual property owners.

I'm certainly not saying one shouldn't have questions about this effort - I have my own, and will have more as it moves along.  Some of #9's are very good, although his tone is so aggravating it's hard to respond to him.

 More this weekend; off to the Drop Inn Center.

Number9's picture

Does anyone really understand this project?

But 9's assumption that the numbers were "inflated" assumes the vision plan #s somehow followed the market study #s. As far as I can tell from what I know now, they were arrived at by different methods - i.e., the vision plan is more what folks wanted, the market study #s are derived from, well, a market study. If either followed the other, the market study was done second, so if anything the #s were not "inflated," they were "deflated" to adjust for reality. One would assume that's a good thing.

Then why did City Council approve the Vision Plan? What you wrote is so difficult to understand. Are you saying that City Council approved the plan the people wanted without any regard to feasibility? This is in direct conflict with the pledge made by Mayor Haslam. Are any of you all on the same page?

(link...)

The "Market Study" also known as the “Estimated Market Study Demand” numbers was performed by who? Hargreaves? Fregonese Calthorpe? You realize that Land Planners use handbooks to make those ROUGH estimates. Developers on the other hand hire specialized marketing firms to do a marketing analysis.

Consider this my request to a member of the Knoxville South Waterfront Oversight Committee, please hire a specialized marketing firm to do a marketing analysis. You can call the Turkey Creek Land Partners and ask them who they used. Since they have the most successful retail project in this State they are a good reference.

Also, keep in mind we're looking at a 20 year time frame here. It's extraordinarily difficult to predict what will be happening 10 or 15 years from now. If the initial effort takes off, the upper #s may prove correct - just as building highways always results in more cars on the road and more congestion than any of the original models suggest. If it's not so successful, then the #s will be lower.

Also keep in mind this isn't a single project - it's a projection of how we want to steer "organic" growth. It's not like we're trying to dump this entire thing on the ground in one fell swoop.

gemini, the infrastructure numbers are the same no matter what. This project is proceeding without adequate analysis.

Finally, #9 has conveniently not quoted this graph from the financial study: The Vision Plan contains greater redevelopment capacity than the Market Study Demand to allow flexibility for market competition as redevelopment occurs, and to compensate for differing densities as specific projects are built. In addition, the Vision Plan describes a coordinated series of public and private improvements, that could potentially exceed market projections if implemented successfully. The goal is to maximize market potential that will reinforce the principles of the plan, to the benefit of both the public and individual property owners.

I gave the link and that should suffice. Besides, that paragraph is B.S. filler. Pure consultant bullshit.

This makes a serious point that City Council approved the Vision Plan without any real understanding of the project or the consequences. One also has to question the value of the Oversight Committee. This project does not appear to be feasible as designed.

Does anyone really understand this project?

Rachel's picture

I think I said this already,

I think I said this already, but the marketing study was done by Development Strategies, one of the members of the consulting team. They specialize in this kind of analyis; that's why they're on the team. It was NOT done by "planners with handbooks."

Could it just barely be possible for you to write one email w/o insulting somebody? I have no problem with people asking questions on this effort. In fact, I just spent 4 hours answering a bunch of them. Hell, I've had - and will continue to have - plenty of questions myself. The problem with you, Mr. 9, is that you assume bad intentions, bad faith, bad motives - on the part of the City, on the part of the consultant team, on the part of planners everywhere. And the poor old citizens who are involved with this are all stupid - we're all getting "conned."

Everybody is acting in bad faith except you in your white hat.

If you would like for me to put you in contact with the Development Strategies head guy, please let me know. Or you can show up on the 24th at 6 p.m. and talk with him yourself.

You keep refering to "this project." It's NOT a project. This isn't Universe Knoxville, or the Convention Center, or even the Market Square Redevelopment. This is a vision plan (complete) and an action plan (under development) for the 20 year development direction of a the south waterfront. It will be realized by tens or hundreds of individual projects. There will be literally thousands of decision points at places along the way - before a particular private piece is approved, before a certain amount of $$ is spent on a particular public piece, etc.

Hiring a land development firm like Turkey Creek to do this kind of plan is about as backasswards as you get.

Number9's picture

You made a few mistakes, here they are:

I think I said this already, but the marketing study was done by Development Strategies, one of the members of the consulting team. They specialize in this kind of analyis; that's why they're on the team. It was NOT done by "planners with handbooks."

No, that is not what you wrote. You wrote:

The demand for different kinds of housing has been carefully studied and estimated by Development Strategies, a part of the current consultant team that specializes in this kind of analysis. The analysis was based on that market and demographic analysis that you keep assuming (wrongly) wasn't done. I don't know if that report has been made public, but all the Oversight Committee has seen it.

Where in the reports is it written they also did a marketing analysis study? Your reference was to housing not retail, commercial, and restaurant space. The study has not been made public. I am putting forth a good faith effort to learn the truth about this plan and as a member of the Oversight Committee I expect you to also put forth a good faith effort to provide information to the public.

The problem with you, Mr. 9, is that you assume bad intentions, bad faith, bad motives - on the part of the City, on the part of the consultant team, on the part of planners everywhere. And the poor old citizens who are involved with this are all stupid - we're all getting "conned."

I assumed nothing until the final work product was available. For you to suggest I had preconceived prejudices is not correct. I made no comments about this plan until it was final and on paper.

City Council voted on and approved unanimously the "Vision Plan" which was a product of public meetings not the work of the various professional firms who suggested a much more conservative plan. No matter which plan was approved the 139 million dollar figure for infrastructure is the same. The question must be answered, was the much higher plan approved to justify the infrastructure expense? The impression is that City Council chose to trust the process and not independently review the material. Isn't that a rubber stamp vote?

I think there is proof of bad faith in that Council vote. Can you tell us without a doubt that there is not rubber-stamping going on? You know very well that it is impossible for 1.48 million square feet of commercial space, a space larger than West Town Mall, to succeed in that area even in twenty years or even in forty years. There is not sufficient parking in the plan for that much space. There is not sufficient high income demographics in that area. This area is one of the rockiest areas in Tennessee. All construction costs more in that area and that is why it is not built up. Have the infrastructure costs account for the rocky terrain? Were core samples drilled? Is there a comprehensive geological study of the entire area?

What is the purpose of the Oversight Committee? I would assume it is to make sure that City Council does not vote on and approve an impossible and unfeasible plan. Yet isn’t that exactly what happened? As a member of that group I feel you owe the people an explanation of how a unanimous Council vote could take place on such an impossible plan. Don't throw rocks at me because I saw the problems your group missed. If anything you should be glad to have someone take a critical look at this plan. It is clear I am one of a very few that has done so.

Hiring a land development firm like Turkey Creek to do this kind of plan is about as backasswards as you get.

That is not what I wrote. I wrote:

Consider this my request to a member of the Knoxville South Waterfront Oversight Committee, please hire a specialized marketing firm to do a marketing analysis. You can call the Turkey Creek Land Partners and ask them who they used. Since they have the most successful retail project in this State they are a good reference.

I wrote that you could use the Turkey Creek Land Partners as a source to find a good firm to do the marketing analysis.

This plan is proceeding way too quickly without proper review. Please make public the Development Strategies work product so the public may review it.

The final result of this plan is the need for 139 million dollars of taxpayer money. There has been no proof offered to the public that this will not be money thrown down a hole. The cost of the roads in this plan is 5 million dollars. That is what was done for Turkey Creek and other shopping centers. The public needs to know why another 134 million dollars of taxpayer money is required. The taxpayers have a right to know how much risk is involved in this plan.

Do you honestly think the people will not start a petition for a referendum on this plan if there is not a real effort to communicate with the taxpayers? The people of Knoxville deserve answers. If I were Mayor Haslam I would invite the public to the Convention Center and explain this plan. I would televise the meeting so every taxpayer could find out why this costs so much money and what the real risks are.

rikki's picture

reverb

It's like the Internet is a giant toilet bowl, and you're a huge ass blocking all the light, endlessly farting just for the reverberations, but never shitting.

Car Guy's picture

the "fact"

#9 said ". . .Could you take a moment of your time to review the material before you mistakenly comment? That is so irritating. You just comment without doing any research.. . ."

So where's the "fact" (your word) the city cannot issue bonds? Or did you not "take a moment of your time to review the material before you mistakenly comment?"Smile

Rachel's picture

I've spent the evening

I've spent the evening taking my husband to a lovely birthday dinner with lots of wine and good friends at Sapphire (hey guys, did you know Charlie Thomas is back in town?) so I'm just now reading this delightful discussion.

The digit asks: Gemini says retail follows the rooftops. Really, is that what they teach at UT?

Yeah, there and pretty much everywhere else.  Without a big enough customer base, retail won't succeed.  Duh.

He also writes: Kinda embarrassing that everyone has gotten the name wrong for so long because it was wrong on the City website. So no one did ANY due diligence to check out Fregonese Calthorpe?

Gemini, Bill Lyons, this is a rather embarrassing event isn't it?

Yup, I pulled the name of the firm out of head incorrectly.  It's definitely Fregonese Calthorpe rather than Calthorpe Fregonese.  Sorry for the mistake.  But no, in the realm of the thousands of mistakes I've made it my life, I don't find this one particularly embarrasing. 

#9 continues: a bunch of New Urbanists wackos out of Portland, Oregon.

Fregonese Calthorpe is a highly respected, nationally known planning firm.  And omigod don't forget to mention that Hargreaves are out of - gasp - Cambridge, Mass!  Anybody "not from around here" must be wackos.

And continues further: I have yet to hear what the people of South Knoxville want. The pack has clearly been conned but that is no surprise.

To say that South Knoxvillians have been "conned" about this plan is pretty damn insulting - and untrue.

South Knoxvillians turned out by the hundreds for the public meetings.  If you read the vision plan, you will see their concerns, issues, and vision for their community are very much incorporated.  In fact, the consultant team continues to refine and add alternatives to the plan based on public input.  There will be another round of public input about stuff in the action plan currently being developed - including form based zoning codes.

Mamaw wrote: As for the UK bonds,  I understand they failed because they were NOT backed by the city or the county or any other public entity.  If (when) UK failed all the bondholders would be left with was a silly pointyheaded building.

That's what I thought too.  I've been wondering all day what the heck the City's bond rating had to with UK.

Finally, the digit wrote: I do not understand why the City did not call the Turkey Creek Land Partners to look at this project.

And Edens replied: Because some things are so perfect that attempting to replicate them would be a sin.

That's pretty much the funniest f'ing thing I've heard all day - and I laughed a LOT tonight.  Thanks, Matt.

Let me add that if the City had hired Turkey Creek Land Partners to look at this project, the outcry from South Knoxville would have been audible clear out to westknox where you are.  I don't like to speak for others, but I can promise you that one thing nobody in south Knoxville wants the waterfront to look like, be like, smell like, or be "planned" like is Turkey Creek.

edens's picture

>I do not understand why the

>I do not understand why the City did not call the Turkey Creek Land >Partners to look at this project.

Because some things are so perfect that attempting to replicate them would be a sin.

edens's picture

>What I find interesting is

>What I find interesting is that #9 is such a magnet for discussion.

Yeah, it's like virtual whack-a-mole, in some regards.

Although, at the moment, put me down in the procrastination column. Parsing #9's statements is more satisfying than trying to sort out the mess of a script that I'm working on.

Perhaps that's the whiff of desperation he sensed?

Bill Lyons's picture

What gets a discussion going?

Well, Randy raises an interesting point so I will jump in because the question deserves a response. I guess it depends on how the topic is framed. A lot of the initial reactions on this thread have to do with specific issues that were posited. I participated here after receiving a private email asking me if the city could not issue bonds and pointing me to this discussion. I thought correcting that misimpression was important despite my belief that it not appropriate for me to use this, or any other forum, and a device to lobby for city policy positions.

I did notice the original thread and appreciate Randy’s putting it out there but there was really nothing for me to say at that point and not much for others to say unless they would invest time and effort. This reminds me of the futility of giving a lecture and asking "any questions," the answer to which was, at best "Is this going to be on the test." However I could throw out something fairly outrageous and get a reaction that often led to some helpful discussion. I used to get frustrated that it took a straw person statement to start a dialogue. The same lecture on search and seizure that otherwise got blank stares stimulated a lot better reaction when it ended with “they only find incriminating stuff if the person is guilty so who cares about searches” delivered with a straight face. ” Of course, back to Gemini’s point, it always helped if the students read the chapter if the discussion that followed was going to have more than entertainment value for the rest of the class. If some guy just hated the government and had not bothered to read the chapter carefully it made any discussion regarding any of the bill of rights deteriorate pretty rapidly.

I would prefer that we could discuss matters such as the role of the city in planning, or overseeing, or not planning and helping, or doing nothing, etc. in areas like the South Waterfront with minimal vitriol and misinformation and with a substitution of healthy skepticism in place of excessive cynicism. I don’t like that latter emotion but I do understand where it comes from.

JustJohnny's picture

....well put

....well put Mr. Neal.

Can't we all just get along?

3 gold stars to everyone today for a cleaner conversation/pile-on than last time around...

Up Goose Creek's picture

Where is the glass dome?

Why are y'all arguing over Fregonese Calthorpe???  That is so last year.   Hargreaves is the consultant now. 

For the record,  Dr. Lyons,  spades have hit the ground.  Or more accurately Backhoes, jackhammers and all sorts of construction equipment.  Even a few old fashioned shovels.  There's a big ole pile of dirt at the Glove Factory and utility construction begins in the neighborhood almost every morning at 7:30.

As for the UK bonds,  I understand they failed because they were NOT backed by the city or the county or any other public entity.  If (when) UK failed all the bondholders would be left with was a silly pointyheaded building.

As for your burning questions, 9:   YES, I WILL SHOP IN THE STORES, YES I WILL EAT AT THE RESTAURANTS.   I already have an office here and no,  I don't need a Condo.  Heaven forbid someone puts in a pastry shop as I will so be there every day and can only hope there are enough pedestrian amenities to counteract its effects.

I understand John Gumpert has already done and/or is in the process of doing marketing studies.  Does that make you feel any better?

 

Number9's picture

Hint, do you think it will be developed as planned?

Why are y'all arguing over Fregonese Calthorpe??? That is so last year. Hargreaves is the consultant now.

This is a con job. Can I be any more clear about it? Let me help explain. Why would a firm out of Oregon be hired to do the feasibility study?

read this:

(link...)

read this:

(link...)

read this:

(link...)

I understand John Gumpert has already done and/or is in the process of doing marketing studies. Does that make you feel any better?

Absolutely not. I appreciate he is a property owner but retail marketing analysis is not for layman.

You can buy software programs that will show you the number of high-income, mid-income, and low-income residents per zip code. You can buy software programs that will show you the traffic per intersection. That and $2.25 will buy you a cup of coffee. It means nothing if you do not have experience in the LOCAL market. You must have other criteria.

May I provide a few examples?

Why did the Tavern next to P.F. Chang’s fail? They share the same entry and exit.

Why did the Grady’s prosper at the P.F. Chang’s site for many years and then fail?

Why did the movie theater that was at the current Dick’s Sporting Goods fail after many successful years yet a new movie theater less than 700 yards away next to Lowe’s opened and thrives? Yet the movie theater that failed had a traffic light and the movie theater that thrives does not.

Why is Downtown West a ghost town despite one of the best locations and ease of access in Knoxville?

Why did the Friday’s in Downtown West thrive for two decades then fail and has been unsellable for years?

Perhaps you should ask John Gumpert. You seem to have a great deal of faith in him.

Most importantly, why is the Turkey Creek Shopping Oasis the most successful shopping center in the South?

Why is that?

Grow up. This is about the condos. It is a con job. Call it Market Square Dos. Those that refuse to learn from the past are doomed to learn again.

Hint, do you think it will be developed as planned?

Number9's picture

Market Square Act II

Are we talking about South Knoxville's future, or West Knoxville failures.

Look, what are John Gumpert's credentials to do a marketing study? Isn't he a local? Also what ARE YOUR CREDENTIALS TO DO A MARKETING STUDY? Do you have a degree, certification or any experience that qualifies YOU to speak about this matter?

What are West Knoxville's failures? I can think of only one thing, it is not Portland Oregon. That is by design. West Knoxville is by any metric the most successful area in East Tennessee. Everyone and their dog is trying to move to West Knoxville. Yet you see that as failure?

One of the key benefits in West Knoxville is the lack of the L Ron. Kunstler New Urbanist wacko high-density condo developments with White Water Kayak courses.

Mamaw wrote that John Gumpert is having the marketing study done and is not doing it himself. As I wrote earlier this is ass-backwards. That is the very first thing that should have been done. This is the typical Mickey Mouse con job that we are so used to in downtown Knoxville. Market Square Act II.

The infrastructure cost are so high because of the STUPID Master Plan. We will look back with nostalgia to the failures of the Convention Center and Women's Basketball Hall of Shame, as this may be the largest failure in Knoxville history.

You do the Marketing Analysis before you do the Master Plan. Otherwise the Master Plan is meaningless. Like this one. For what one of these condos will cost you could live on the lake with your own boat dock. Do you really think there are 2500 people with deep deep pockets that will buy into this scheme?

Where is the single family housing is this Master Plan? What percentage is single family housing? That should tell you who and what this plan is really about. How is it possible that a Southern City could choose a Master Plan with the key feature of high-density condos? Once again why anyone would create a Master Plan before they study the marketing is a clear signal how compromised this deal is.

This is about Haslam's desire for higher political office. I doubt seriously the people of South Knoxville either know about this plan or support it. The comment that "hundreds" of people have come to the meeting is hysterical. That is a drop in the bucket. I do believe most of those people that have come to the meetings are looking for the exit door. I wonder if they will flee to West Knoxville?

Up Goose Creek's picture

I could have said "John

I could have said "John Gumpert is having marketing studies done".

bizgrrl's picture

South Knoxvillians turned

South Knoxvillians turned out by the hundreds for the public meetings. 

At one of the meetings I attended, the South Knoxvillians I questioned were more interested in how much their property values would increase so they could sell (and get out of there).

Let me add that if the City had hired Turkey Creek Land Partners to look at this project, the outcry from South Knoxville would have been audible clear out to westknox where you are.  I don't like to speak for others, but I can promise you that one thing nobody in south Knoxville wants the waterfront to look like, be like, smell like, or be "planned" like is Turkey Creek.

I think you should refrain from trying to speak for others. I can promise you that one thing nobody in south Knoxville wants the waterfront to look like, be like, smell like, or be "planned" like is Turkey Creek. I know people from South Knoxville that drive right past downtown, Bearden, West Town, etc. just to shop at Turkey Creek. Don't push your prejudices on us.

Rachel's picture

Why would a firm out of

Why would a firm out of Oregon be hired to do the feasibility study?

Oh I don't know, maybe because they are good at it and don't have any local axes to grind?

Look, you keep saying this thing is backwards, but it's not.  The City didn't start with the vision plan for this thing, and then hire a feasibility study to justify it, as often happens.  As I've said before, the Mayor stressed that whatever ended up in the plan had to be feasible.  So the first thing the City did was hire Fregonese to do a feasibility study.  If that study had shown that developing the south waterfront wasn't gonna fly, that would have been the end of it.

Where is the single family housing is this Master Plan? That should tell you who and what this plan is really about. How is it possible that a Southern City could choose a Master Plan with the key feature of high-density condos? Once again why anyone would create a Master Plan before they study the marketing is a clear signal how compromised this deal is.

The demand for different kinds of housing has been carefully studied and estimated by Development Strategies, a part of the current  consultant team that specializes in this kind of analysis.  The analysis was based on that market and demographic analysis that you keep assuming (wrongly) wasn't done.  I don't know if that report has been made public, but all the Oversight Committee has seen it.

Once you have estimated your housing demand, then you can estimate the amount of commercial, etc. it will support.  And that's what's been done here.

You like west Knoxville.  That's fine.  Live there.  Not everyone shares your taste.  Judging from my ten years in south Knoxville, and from all the comments at the public meetings, south Knoxvillians want to live here partly because it's NOT west Knoxville.  We want to preserve our own identity.  Your continuing insistence that south Knoxvillians want to "get out" is uninformed and insulting.

Again, the waterfront is going to develop in any case.  Already is - mamaw pointed out that work has started on the Glove Factory development.  And it's much further along on the development at the end of Scottish Pike.

We can sit back and let the waterfront develop piecemeal and most likely end up with a bunch of fragmented, unconnected, mostly gated communities (mostly condos too, BTW - isn't it interesting how the market seems to be going for those even in the absence of a plan?) and a lot of upheaveal in the existing neighborhoods.  Or we can end up with development that allows public access to the river, protects existing neighborhoods, and is high quality.   

Number9's picture

Where will the customers come from?

Look, you keep saying this thing is backwards, but it's not. The City didn't start with the vision plan for this thing, and then hire a feasibility study to justify it, as often happens. As I've said before, the Mayor stressed that whatever ended up in the plan had to be feasible. So the first thing the City did was hire Fregonese to do a feasibility study. If that study had shown that developing the south waterfront wasn't gonna fly, that would have been the end of it.

It is backwards beyond belief. I don't know if you understand the point I am attempting to make. There is 421,700 square feet of retail space, 60,000 square feet of restaurant space, and 1 million square feet of office space. A total of 1.48 million square feet of commercial space. That is almost half the square footage of the 2500 residences, which would be around 3.5 million square feet. To give you a visual, West Town Mall has 1,334,000 square feet of retail space. This project will have one-third the amount of retail space that West Town Mall does PLUS 1 million square feet of office space. The total commercial scope of this proposed project is larger than West Town Mall. Where will the customers come from and at what cost to existing businesses? Why should taxpayers subsidize this project?

Another comparison to the South Knox Riverfront retail and restaurant component is the new Colonial Pinnacle in Turkey Creek. It has 268,000 square feet. In other words it is half the size of the projected retail and restaurant space proposed for the South Knox Riverfront development. This is probably the best comparison because the Colonial Pinnacle has the mixture of anchor tenants, small stores, restaurants, and boutiques that will most resemble retail in the South Knox Riverfront. Where will the customers come from? Do you honestly expect people to drive from West Knoxville to keep this enterprise in business?

How in the world do you expect that amount of retail, restaurant, and office space to be viable? It defies common sense and existing local markets. The Fregonese study is worthless without a companion retail marketing study to verify the amount of viable retail, restaurant, and office space that is viable at THAT location.

One of the great components of the infrastructure costs is this 1.48 million square feet of commercial space. Are we facing the prospect of building infrastructure at taxpayer expense that can never be utilized? This makes me think of other projects that were grossly overbuilt in the wrong location. Do we ever learn from our mistakes?

The demand for different kinds of housing has been carefully studied and estimated by Development Strategies, a part of the current consultant team that specializes in this kind of analysis. The analysis was based on that market and demographic analysis that you keep assuming (wrongly) wasn't done. I don't know if that report has been made public, but all the Oversight Committee has seen it.

Once you have estimated your housing demand, then you can estimate the amount of commercial, etc. it will support. And that's what's been done here.

It would be helpful if the City would allow the Development Strategies study to be made public, as on the Internet. I would be interested to see what they came up with.

gemini wrote, “Once you have estimated your housing demand, then you can estimate the amount of commercial, etc. it will support.” Are you saying in this statement that there is an expectation that this will be a self-sustaining retail ecosystem? If you are, you are very mistaken.

To support the 1.48 million square feet of commercial space you MUST have traffic from outside this ecosystem. 2500 residences is about 5,600 people. Those will be high-income people. Where are the other nearest high income people? South Knoxville, 4th and Gill, Parkridge? The fad of Riverfront shopping and dining will fade very quickly. Do you think that comparable items purchased on the Riverfront will be the same price as those purchased at Turkey Creek? If you do, you will be mistaken. Retail is fueled by repeat business and foot traffic. There are only 1,940 parking spaces. Where do the 5,600 residents park? Where do the shoppers and diners park? Which of course brings us to the fantasy of light rail.

The idea of a light rail system to downtown Knoxville is crazy. Why not just burn down Market Square and the Old City? The taxpayers have spent 280 million dollars trying to save downtown and now the new idea is to put all the existing businesses out of business, and move that business across the river to a riverfront environment? Let’s see, where would you like to have dinner hon, on the Market Square, or would you rather hop over on the light rail system and have dinner on the river? Gosh, the new Riverfront is so convenient with the 30 restaurants and 280 stores, shops, and boutiques. Remember when all we had was Market Square? That was so boring. So passé.

This happens all across America when poor planning creates a predatory environment that harms existing businesses. It is fine if private enterprise wants to use private dollars to build this out but to subsidize a predatory environment with tax dollars is not just crazy but it is a violation of the rights of the existing business and building owners.

This is why Urban planners are not well suited to estimate retail projects.

spintrep's picture

what about the tank farm?

I regret not paying more attention to this entire project as things have developed.

This area is characterized by obvious limits of geography, I hope the ambitions for development aren't over reaching with too much office or retail. These considerations should develop by the incentives of increased residential population and the attraction of the newly improved area. And the existing retail zoning running out Chapman and towards Vestal are ripe for infill to complement this new development. 9ine's points about downtown competition also seem reasonable.

I thought the original idea was to preserve the integrity of surrounding neighborhoods while allowing the obvious potential of the waterfront to develop. Most property owners stand to reap some substantial gains and the city will benefit with according increases in property values and population. I would hope the major public commitment would be going towards infrastructure and increasing public space.

Comparitively, I see other areas outside of downtown that lack this kind of natural potential to develop with private investment. I would advocate TIFs be reserved for these other areas of the city, where markets need a jump start.

 

 

Up Goose Creek's picture

Rocks

This talk about rocky terrain impeding development leads me to believe that 9 has not driven Cherokee trail recently.

S Carpenter's picture

Number 9 says: "I made no

 

Number 9 says: "I made no comments about this plan until it was final and on paper."

You should participate earlier, especially since the opportunities and invitations have been numerous and inclusive.

 

 

jacobs ladder's picture

Number 9 is the same here

Number 9 is the same here and when he calls 1180.You dont expect him to be constructive about anything do you.Rikki has him nailed perfectly.There is nothing to hate about the south waterfront thing but he hates it all anyway.Turkey creek walmarts and stuff.yeah.

Rachel's picture

Question for #9

Do you live inside the city limits of Knoxville?

Not trying to give you a hard time, just curious about how much you personally have at stake as a taxpayer wrt city expenditures on the South Waterfront effort.

Thanks in advance for the answer.

spintrep's picture

what's good for the city reflects on the county

and visa versa. especially where I intend to continue my advocacy for amending our city charter.

I'm a city taxpayer and I have my share of questions too if the process is still open for comments.

Unfortunately, this thread is more about the veracity of 9ines' 9inenterprise.

I await an opportunity for the daylight of another thread... 

 

 

 

Rachel's picture

spinetrep wrote: What's good

spinetrep wrote: What's good for the city reflects on the county.

I absolutely do not mean to imply that no one outside the city limits should not be interested in this project.   I am just curious at how large #9's personal stake as a taxpayer is in this, since he is so vehemently opposed.

 if the process is still open for comments.

Yes, there is very much still time to comment.  If you want to send comments directly to me, I will pass them along to the consultant team and the oversight committee.  Or you can send them to Dave Hill, who is heading up the project for the City - dhill@cityofknoxville.org.  Or there is an input form you can fill out on the website.  Or you can come to the oversight committee meeting on the 24th and speak to any of the consultants directly.  I'll be happy to introduce you.

Number9's picture

Do you live inside the city?

Do you live inside the city limits of Knoxville?

Interesting question as only one firm that was involved with the design of this plan has its home office in Knoxville. Studio Four Design is located on Market Square, for now.

The primary design firm Hargreaves Associates, which is listed as being a Massachusetts firm, on the City of Knoxville website is actually headquartered in San Francisco. Why the oversight? Why use a branch office location instead of the home office address?

The firm that did the feasibility study, Fregonese Calthorpe Associates, is located in Portland, Oregon. Fregonese Calthorpe is a leader in New Urbanism and promotes high density infill strategies mostly using condos as opposed to single family housing.

Other firms with branch offices in Knoxville are Arcadis G & M and Jordan, Jones and Goulding.

So the great majority of design and thought on this plan came from outside of Knox County and for that matter the State of Tennessee. As you say these folks have no "ax to grind" do they? In fact they know very little about this area.

But you need to know what my interest is? Are you concerned I have an "ax to grind"?

I thought we had evolved to the point where anyone that had an opinion was welcome to comment. After all, this entire design is from out of State.

I live in Knox County. I do not want to have to pay for the balloon note on this adventure. So I actually have more to be concerned about than any of the people that designed this plan.

Let's take a look at the list of professions that designed this plan:

CONSULTANT TEAM

Hargreaves Associates:
George Hargreaves, Senior Principal and Design Director
Gavin McMillan, Principal in Charge
Emma Kelly, Senior Staff and Project Manager
(link...)

Kennedy, Coulter, Rushing and Watson, LLC
Chattanooga, TN
Ann Coulter, Principal
Stroud Watson, Senior Principal
(link...)

Chan Krieger & Associates
Cambridge, MA
Alex Krieger Co-Founding Principal
David Gamble, Designer and Project Manager
(link...)

Development Strategies
St. Louis, MO
Richard C. Ward, CEO and Founder
Matthew Wetlie, Market and Economic Analyst
(link...)

Glatting, Jackson, Kercher, Anglin, Lopez, Rinehart
Orlando, FL
Walter Kulash, Principal and Senior Transportation Planner
(link...)

Moffatt and Nichol
Raleigh, NC
Jeffrey G. Shelden, Marine Engineer
Peter Elkan, Project Manager
(link...)

DuVall and Associates, Inc.
Franklin, TN
Robert Pace, Archaeologist

Arcadis G & M, Inc.
Knoxville, TN
Jerry A. Archer, Vice President, Environmental Engineer
(link...)

Jordan, Jones and Goulding
Knoxville, TN
David Reece, Principal Civil Engineer
(link...)

Studio Four Design
Knoxville, TN
Kevin Diegel, Architect and Project Manager
Mike Keller, Architect
(link...)

veery's picture

The primary design firm

The primary design firm Hargreaves Associates, which is listed as being a Massachusetts firm, on the City of Knoxville website is actually headquartered in San Francisco. Why the oversight? Why use a branch office location instead of the home office address?

Very interesting. Perhaps there is a hidden homosexual agenda the city is trying to obscure. Is this project an attempt to attract more gays to the city? Richard Florida, dearly beloved by New Urbanists, says gays are part of the "creative class". 

Rachel's picture

So the great majority of

So the great majority of design and thought on this plan came from outside of Knox County and for that matter the State of Tennessee. As you say these folks have no "ax to grind" do they? In fact they know very little about this area.

Let's take a look at the list of professions that designed this plan.

 Yes, let's.  Many of these firms - particularly the lead firm, Hargreaves, and the lead planning firm, Chan Krieger, are nationally known and respected.  (As is Fregonese Calthorpe).  Ann Coulter has been deeply involved in the Chattanooga riverfront development.  This team was chosen for its expertise and experience.

I read the request for proposals the City sent out.  I read all eight proposals they received.  I sat through all three half-day itnerviews with the three finalists (the interviews, extraordinarily, were open to the public.  That's about as transparent a process as you can get.) 

That doesn't make me an expert on all these folks, but it does give me some credibility to speak about them.  FWIW, Hargreaves et al. is the team I personally would have selected for this effort.  (The selection team, BTW, was composed of Dave Hill, Chief Operating Officer of the City of Knoxville; Bill Lyons, Senior Director of Policy Development; Chris Kinney, Senior Director of Finance; Sam Anderson, Senior Director of Community & Neighborhood Development; Caryn Hawthorne-Conklin of Baptist Hospital, City Council member Joe Hultquist, and Madeline Rogero.)

I liked the fact that the team was not primarily local.  I thought that meant that a) no one could accuse them of being part of the "good ole boys" network, and b) they would come here free of prejudices from past local experiences. 

What I have been amazed by is how much time these folks have spent on the ground here, and how truly familar they are with the planning area.  You can bring up any street name, any business, almost any single parcel and they know exactly what you are talking about.  I think some of them know the area by now better than some of us who live there.

I am happy to have you comment.  I only want to know if you will be paying taxes to help pay for the infrastructure costs you are deploring.  You live in Knox County; do you live in Knoxville?

James D.'s picture

Hypocrisy...

#9,

 As someone so full of "dissent", don't you have a responsibilty to be engaged and involved in this process. You are so critical of government, however, from my experience, so is gemini, rikki, metulj, etc...As someone who knows these folks, I have never found them to be rubber stamps for the status quo. The difference is that that they are constructive in their criticism...

Nothing wrong with dissent, discourse, criticism, etc..

What's important is the responsibility that goes with public discourse...One cannot promote thoughtful dialogue by blurting out misinformation, innuendo, rumor, and flat out lies.

Nothing is wrong with questioning public projects. Where #9 frustrates me is when he/she doesn't back up assumptions...Concerned about market studies? go to the fucking meetings. Upset about the city spending money? Get involved! Hate Mike Ragsdale? Put up someone better than Steve Hall to face him...

Rikki put it best: shit or get off the pot...you're arguments stink.

Number9's picture

The City's document speaks for itself

As someone so full of "dissent", don't you have a responsibility to be engaged and involved in this process.

Nothing is wrong with questioning public projects. Where #9 frustrates me is when he/she doesn't back up assumptions...

Have you read this?

(link...)

You should spend some time reading that document before you questions anyone's dissent to the plan.

What's important is the responsibility that goes with public discourse...One cannot promote thoughtful dialogue by blurting out misinformation, innuendo, rumor, and flat out lies.

Where is your proof? Please prove what you have written. Are you not doing exactly what you accuse others of doing?

The City's own cost document for the South Knox Waterfront development speaks for itself. NO development at that sight can ever break-even to pay off the 139 million dollars of investment. It is too much spending.

Chattanooga has a successful Aquarium. Knoxville could have had a successful Baseball team. What solution has the crack committee of experts come up with for a destination attraction?

A White Water Kayak water-park.

Yes.

A White Water Kayak water-park. Do you have any idea of how few people would use a White Water Kayak water-park? Not to mention building it on a polluted river. James, would you swim in that part of the river?

So the City promotes another round of drunken spending with taxpayer money and you feel people that question that drunken spending are the problem? What are your thoughts about the people that promote the drunken spending?

rikki's picture

it does speak. you bark

That document speaks for itself a hell of a lot better than you've been speaking for it. It says $6 million in federal grants have already been obtained, dropping the potential debt to $133 million. It says $43 million will be TIF financed, which means it will not add to the city debt load except under the worst circumstances, reducing the potential debt to $89 million. It identifies potential funding sources totaling $165 million that could further reduce that amount.

It describes a plan that will take 20 years and retains the flexibility to stop or alter the effort as time passes and demands and needs change. Even with no additional grants materializing, that works out to $4 million/yr.

It speaks of a carefully considered plan that many capable people have put a great deal of time and effort into. Your posts, on the other hand, speak of hysterics, distortion, and misunderstanding. It's important to have public watchdogs, but a blind dog that barks at everything does no good.

Paul's picture

 "It's important to have

 "It's important to have public watchdogs, but a blind dog that barks at everything does no good. It's important to have public watchdogs, but a blind dog that barks at everything does no good."

Everyone else can discuss this without ranting but you. It looks to me like this plan needs some work. I don't think it makes sense. Why don't you defend it rather than ranting at people? If anyone is barking it is you.

Number9's picture

FIGURE OUT IF THEY WILL COME BEFORE YOU BUILD IT

That document speaks for itself a hell of a lot better than you've been speaking for it. It says $6 million in federal grants have already been obtained, dropping the potential debt to $133 million. It says $43 million will be TIF financed, which means it will not add to the city debt load except under the worst circumstances, reducing the potential debt to $89 million. It identifies potential funding sources totaling $165 million that could further reduce that amount.

Hold on rikki, you are alleging I misspoke. I can see how with your perspective, philosophy, and prejudice you would think that.

I wrote the this will cost the taxpayers 139 million dollars. That's the facts Jack.

The problem is you forget who the taxpayers are. That 6 million you so casually cast aside will be paid for by every person in America that pays Federal Income Taxes. Our Tennessee Sales Tax dollars will go into the project as well. And as the document shows even after the 43 million to be financed by the City of Knoxville using TIF's there is still a GAP of 89 million dollars that must come from taxpayers SOMEWHERE.

Is this project worth the taxpayer cost?

Our nation has a 9 trillion dollar Federal Debt. The reason why? Because of projects that never should have been built from the "Big Dig" to the 231 million dollar bridge in Alaska. A billion here and a billion there and before you know, it adds up to real money.

The document does identify potential funding of 165 million dollars. But it will come from taxpayers SOMEWHERE.

My point is simple. Will the project pay for itself?

The way the City of Knoxville does these plans of the last decade is shallowly simple.

IF YOU BUILT IT THEY WILL COME.

How is that mantra working over the projects of the past decade? rikki, can you name one "IF YOU BUILT IT THEY WILL COME" project built in the last decade that has come close to a break-even?

I have a new suggestion from the world of private enterprise.

FIGURE OUT IF THEY WILL COME BEFORE YOU BUILD IT.

That works.

Anonymous's picture

Just FYI, Ms. Hawthorne's

Just FYI, Ms. Hawthorne's correct name is Caryn Conklin-Hawthorne, not Hawthorne-Conklin.

Rachel's picture

Ms. Hawthorne's correct name

Ms. Hawthorne's correct name is Caryn Conklin-Hawthorne, not Hawthorne-Conklin.

Yup, I noticed the other day that I had transposed this name like I did Calthorpe Fregonese (instead of Fregonese Calthorp).  Gotta quit trusting my memory; it seems to be mildly dyslexic.

I hope Ms. Conklin-Hawthorne will forgive me. 

Aaaahhhhh's picture

Aaaahhhhh

gemini said:

Do you live inside the city limits of Knoxville?

I so tire of this question. Nananana. We who live in this metropolis are involved. It is ours to say what we want as well as you city-limit dwellers. Or shall we say keep these city dwellers in their limits. Do not let them out. For fear they may spread and cast us with disease, or at the least ATTITUDE!!!

Rachel's picture

A White Water Kayak

A White Water Kayak water-park. Do you have any idea of how few people would use a White Water Kayak water-park? Not to mention building it on a polluted river. James, would you swim in that part of the river?

Just for the record - this is a tiny, tiny piece of the plan that may or may not ever be realized.  But you need to go back and look at the vision plan, #9  - the white water kayak park is proposed for the quarry lake, not the river.

Also, at the City Council workshop on the vision plan, a nice young man introduced himself to Council, said he was a TVA recreation specialist, and that TVA might very well be interested in working with the City on just such a course.

 

Oh, and BTW, do you live in Knoxville? (Gonna keep asking till you respond.)

rikki's picture

translation

I think he considered "I live in Knox County" to be an answer to your question. We're talking about a guy who recently demonstrated he has no idea that city taxpayers pay county taxes, after all.

Number9's picture

we all know the White Water Kayak Park will never happen

Just for the record - this is a tiny, tiny piece of the plan that may or may not ever be realized. But you need to go back and look at the vision plan, #9 - the white water kayak park is proposed for the quarry lake, not the river.

Also, at the City Council workshop on the vision plan, a nice young man introduced himself to Council, said he was a TVA recreation specialist, and that TVA might very well be interested in working with the City on just such a course.

Oh, and BTW, do you live in Knoxville? (Gonna keep asking till you respond.)

How tiny is 25 million dollars gemini? That doesn't sound "tiny" to me. How much will this proposed White Water Kayak Park for the South Knox Waterfront really cost?

Please read the posts on this forum:

(link...)

Charlotte, NC - Rough Estimate of Costs & Revenue
Whitewater Center developers believe the $21.5 million center (actually $25 million) could generate up to $37 million a year for Mecklenburg and Gaston counties, drawing more than 310,000 visitors annually and creating 690 jobs.

Note - 10 million tourists visit Sevier County/Great Smoky Mountain National Park every year. The majority of these tourists exit off of I-40. Imagine if just 5% of them stopped off in nearby Knoxville for the water park - That's 500 thousand tourists!! Why not - we're already a destination point - we just need to give them a reason to turn in.

gemini, we all know the White Water Kayak Park will never happen. That is not the point. The point is that it is being considered. Just as the glass dome over Market Square was considered. Just as Universe Knoxville was not only considered but voted on and approved by both City Council and County Commission.

It is lunacy. Once again this illustrates the complete faith in the mantra "If you build it they will come". But where is the proof that the mantra works in Knoxville?

Can we just let Knoxville be Knoxville instead of trying to be Chattanooga, Asheville, or Nashville? What is interesting to me is that the people that have this "inferiority complex" about how Knoxville is perceived are mostly people who did not grow up in Knoxville. Is it really necessary to change this town so they will have a better self image? Couldn't they just see a therapist?

When will people see that this so called "progessivity" is just a cover for taxpayer subsidies to great plans and schemes that will fail under their own weight?

I support and favor redevelopment of the South Knox Waterfront. I have from the beginning. But this plan is a disaster. Some taxpayer investment must be part of the plan. But not 139 million dollars. Like most people I thought 25 to 45 million dollars would be all that was needed to spark the private investment. I thought that 45 million would be on the high end. I underestimated the inferiority complex of those that must change Knoxville into the "shining City on the Hill".

Please review the following :

Public Roads & Parking Projects

Site Investigation & Design $5,192,040

Contingency $6,490,050

Public Park / Plaza Projects

Site Investigation & Design $6,732,000

Contingency $8,415,000

Does that sound a little high? Or does it sound like the person that put those costs in was a little high? Almost 12 million dollars in Site Investigation & Design. Can we be serious, this plan is a disaster. Almost 15 million in Contingency? Or should that read profit?

MARINE

Recreation Boat Bulkhead $4,760,000

Bio-Engineered Bank Stabilization $1,820,000

Pier - Concrete $1,800,000

Floating Dock - 200-Ft. Long $1,960,000

Small Boat Ramp $450,000

Is that the role of government? Taxpayer subsidy of the marina so millionaires can have their boats on the South Knox Waterfront? Almost 11 million dollars of taxpayer money for millionaire's boats? I think that is outrageous. Isn't there a plan from the Mayor to end homelessness in ten years? Do we really have 11 million dollars to gift to the richest most wealthy people in the County?

LANDSCAPE

Large Park 1 - Conservation, Upgrade 9.5 acre $430,000 $4,085,000

Large Park 2 - Linear Park with Playground 19.3 acre $12,545,000

Large Park 3 - Wharf, Plaza, Fountain, 17.8 acre $17,800,000

Small Park / Plaza 4.7 acre $6,580,000

In the history of Knox County has it EVER been proposed to spend 41 million dollars on 51 acres of parks? Ever? That is $803,921 per acre of park. That is outrageous. This is an insult to the taxpayers. That doesn't even include the land acquisition costs.

BRIDGES

Existing Rail Bridge: Pedestrian Addition $1,800,000

New Pedestrian Bridge $10,080,000

Who is going to use these bridges? They might be nice a game day but is this the function of government to force taxpayer dollars to be used in this way?

Ask yourself these simple questions:

Is it the TRUTH?

Is it FAIR to all concerned?

Will it build GOODWILL and BETTER FRIENDSHIPS?

Will it be BENEFICIAL to all concerned?

I think the answers are clear to all.

Rachel's picture

9 - Your posts have made it

9 - Your posts have made it sound like the whitewater kayak park is the center piece of this plan (comparing it to the Chattanooga Aquarium, for example). It's not. It's a part of the potential plan to improve Fort Dickerson, a vastly underused City resource.

I have decided to reserve comment on the financial plan until after the 24th because that is when the Oversight Committee will be briefed on it by the consultant team. I'll understand it a lot better at that point, and will have a chance to get my questions answered. (I'm happy to take reasonable questions from any of ya'll with me.)

In the meantime, it might be helpful if you told us what you think that $45M should be spent on? Is that over 20 years? Does it include the $6M already authorized by the Feds for improvements to Sevier & Blount Avenues?

What I do plan to do is post soon on the last Oversight Committee meeting and City Council workshop, where we discussed another component of the action plan, formed-based zoning, at some length. Not sure I'll get that done today tho; like all good children I gotta go see mom.

Glug..glug..'s picture

gemini said over and over

gemini said over and over and over:

Do you live inside the city limits of Knoxville?

I am sinking.....  I am sinking....  

Again, I so tire of this question. Nananana. We who live in this metropolis are involved. It is ours to say what we want as well as you city-limit dwellers. Or shall we say keep these city dwellers in their limits. Do not let them out. For fear they may spread and cast us with disease, or at the least ATTITUDE!!!

Get over it gemini. Let others play in your sandbox.

Rachel's picture

gemini said over and over

gemini said over and over and over: Do you live inside the city limits of Knoxville?

I can't believe I'm even responding to this but.... I didn't ask you, so I don't understand why you are complaining (unless you are #9's alter ego).  And the only reason I asked #9 was because he is so concerned about the City's finances.   Seems reasonable to want to know where a person with such definite opinions is coming from.

James D.'s picture

#9 lives in West Knox

#9 lives in West Knox County, outside city limits...He/she is upset about the Steve Hall/Mike Alford/Kelvin Moxley ass-whoopin' last week...

The digit was screamin' last week about the Farmer's Market, for Christ's sake...

I still love Rikki's comment...one big, empty fart...not even a SHART...OUCH!

Up Goose Creek's picture

Whitewater enthusiasts

p://www.knoxvillesouthwaterfront.com/forum/threadView.aspx?id=8

Boy howdy, that sure is an outpouring of astroturf from the whitewater enthusiasts.  And who is this Joe guy to go questioning capital costs and operating costs and revenue????  Doesn't that set a bad example for politicians?

Lets hope they're right.  The sweet thing is we'll see the results from Charlotte before this ever makes it to the serious drawing board.  I'd also like to see some sort of water attraction for the 98% of Knoxvillians who aren't whitewater enthusiasts.

rikki's picture

such as?

I'd also like to see some sort of water attraction for the 98% of Knoxvillians who aren't whitewater enthusiasts.

Like hundreds of boat slips, docks, riverwalks, wetland parks, paddle boats, rowing facilities, that sort of thing? 

Number9's picture

11 million dollar taxpayer subsidy of the boat docks

Like hundreds of boat slips, docks, riverwalks, wetland parks, paddle boats, rowing facilities, that sort of thing?

I was somewhat surprised that you had no comment about the 11 million dollar taxpayer subsidy of the boat docks.

Number9's picture

Does anyone know which

Does anyone know which entrance will be used for the proposed White Water Kayak waterpark? I don't see how Cherokee Trail would be a good route to get there.

Joe Hultquist did ask some good questions about the break-even of that project.

Up Goose Creek's picture

Glass Dome

I think about this thread and 9 from time to time at the waterfront meetings because there really IS a glass dome proposed in the waterfront plan.

Looking at the model is kind of like looking at a where's Waldo puzzle. But the dome's not too hard to spot. The drop-in center is about to be dismantled but if you act fast I may be able to get the key.

I suspect the model will be moved to the CC building, so you'll have opportunities for anonymous viewing as well.

Up Goose Creek's picture

Such as?

I was thinking about water slides,  something for both big and little kids.   The fountain at Worlds Fair Park is very popular. I don't know if that expense needs to be duplicated, though.  Little kids are happy with smaller fountains. Maybe a waterfall like the one beside Calhouns?  It would be great if a part of the quarry  could be safely used for swimming.

Now that I think about it, perhaps a whitewater course could be designed so that it could also be used for tubing part of the time.  A lot of South Knoxvillians can be found tubing at the wye in the summer,  this way we could save gas. 

Number9's picture

How will this be paid for?

How will this be paid for? The City of Knoxville will soon be voting on form based codes and there is still over 70 million dollars needed to do this project.

Where will the money come from?

How much will come from Knoxville and Knox County taxpayers? Don't the taxpayers have a right to know where the remaining money will come from before any more votes are taken?

You are seeing the worst example of incremental politics at work here. Don't be shocked when you the taxpayer gets the balloon note.

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