125,270
Submitted by R. Neal on Fri, 2008/10/31 - 3:37am

After a surge in the last three days of early voting (with 17,119 voting on the last day) the Knox Co. early vote total is 125,270. That's roughly 48% of registered voters.

Early voting turnout in 2004 was 108,342 (39% of registered, 60% of total vote), and 70,199 in 2000 (30% of registered, 46% of total vote).

UPDATE: Turnout by ward/precinct attached.

UPDATE: Best and worst turnout by ward...

Early vote turnout, top ten wards:

WARD                         EV   REG
66S   FARRAGUT 2 FAR HI    4541  7256  63%
66N   FARRAGUT 1 FAR HI    5353  8619  62%
69S   S BLUEGRASS SCHOOL   4930  7938  62%
51    DEANE HILL REC CTR   1715  2804  61%
71    ROCKY HILL SCHOOL    3332  5467  61%
74    SHANNONDALE EL SC    1441  2368  61%
65    CONCORD FAR MD SC    6699 11145  60%
69N   A L LOTTS ELEM SCH   4361  7434  59%
70    BALL CAMP ELEM SC    5564  9507  59%
61    HALLS HIGH SCHOOL    4889  8408  58%

Early vote turnout, bottom ten wards:

WARD                         EV   REG
18    LINCOLN PARK SCH      454  1806  25%
50S   WEST HIGH SCH (S)     241   960  25%
78    RIVERDALE COM CTR     219   875  25%
87    THORN GROVE CM CTR    337  1385  24%
92    GAP CREEK SCHOOL      314  1304  24%
19    SOAR MINISTRIES       246  1164  21%
23N   LIONS CLUB COMM       130   685  19%
24N   PELLISSIPPI STATE      43   299  14%
20    BEAUMONT SCHOOL       153  1143  13%
23S   WEST VIEW SCHOOL       74   597  12%
AttachmentSize
knoxevward3.xls37.5 KB
Topics:
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R. Neal's picture

Where's the youth vote? EV

Submitted by R. Neal on Fri, 2008/10/31 - 8:44am.

Where's the youth vote?

EV turnout for Fort Sanders ward: 32%
EV turnout University ward: 33%

bill young's picture

1Oth

Submitted by bill young on Fri, 2008/10/31 - 11:17am.

Raw vote in 10-N & 10-S.

Early Vote 10-N:
2008-1,243

Total Vote 10-N:
2004-1,793

Early Vote 10-S:
2008-1,178

Total Vote 10-S:
2004-1,348

In 10-N I believe there will be 2,000 total turn-out.

Beats '04 record of 1,793

I have no clue in 10-S.Only 170 votes from beating the record setting turn out of '04.

Don't forget there were tons of address changes @ the UC early voting location.Students are mobile.

Rachel's picture

Lots of students don't live

Submitted by Rachel on Fri, 2008/10/31 - 1:26pm.

Lots of students don't live on campus anymore. If they wait till election day to vote, they'll be voting all over town.

bill young's picture

True

Submitted by bill young on Fri, 2008/10/31 - 2:41pm.

Thats true but the 10-S ward is 99.9% UT dorms.I just dont know what to make of the 10-S early vote this time..170 votes shy of the '04 record turn out in the ward is something.It could mean huge over all turn out or because of the UC early vote site an 80% early vote ward.We will know Tuesday.

OTH,10-N has 3 campus housing units..Clement Hall,Knox Place & the Soriety dorm on Laurel.I dont know if Strong Hall is still open.Plus,the students that live here off campus.Could be 1,000 voters turn out Tuesday but I think closer to 7 or 8 hundred.

R. Neal's picture

Where's the black vote?

Submitted by R. Neal on Fri, 2008/10/31 - 9:19am.

Where's the black vote? Mixed results:

06 Green 26%
09 Moses Ctr 26%
12 Eastport 36%
14M Walter P. Taylor 31%
15 John T. O'Conner 34%
16S Belle Morris 35%

Better:

13 FairGarden 45%
14E Austin-East 43%
30 Sarah Moore Green 45%
32 Springhill 47%

(Based on zip+census.)

bill young's picture

9th & 13th

Submitted by bill young on Fri, 2008/10/31 - 11:32am.

Raw vote in 9th & 13th

Early Vote in 9th:
2008-301

Total Vote in 9th:
2004-536

Early Vote in 13th:
2008-1,156

Total Vote in 13th:
2004-1,648

Thats a very good early vote in 9 & 13.I have no prediction on turn-out in these two wards but it looks like it's going to a record & could be off the charts with so many registered voters yet to vote.

Nobody's picture

Looks like

Submitted by Nobody (not verified) on Fri, 2008/10/31 - 9:32am.

McCain territory is ripping to shreds the Obama territory. How East TN goes, so goes the nation.

Justin's picture

I guess thats why every

Submitted by Justin on Fri, 2008/10/31 - 9:54am.

I guess thats why every reputable poll has Obama stomping papaws ass in the electoral count eh? Try again troll.

sugarfatpie's picture

HAW!!!

Submitted by sugarfatpie on Fri, 2008/10/31 - 9:54am.

Now that is funny.
You forget 2000, when Gore won and the Supreme court intervened to give the presidency to W.
TN went for the loser who cheated and won.
-Sugarfatpie (AKA Alex Pulsipher)

"X-Rays are a hoax."-Lord Kelvin

tennesseevaluesauthority's picture

Nobody Doesn't Understand Bellwethers

Submitted by tennesseevalues... on Fri, 2008/10/31 - 3:08pm.

How East TN goes, so goes the nation.

That's odd. I don't remember, Bob Dole's inaugural speech in 1997. And, of course, who can forget the historic chapter that was George H.W. Bush's second term?

bill young's picture

Calling Paul Witt

Submitted by bill young on Fri, 2008/10/31 - 11:34am.

Is this right?

Early Vote + Absentee= 127,988

Paul Witt's picture

128,929 actually

Submitted by Paul Witt on Fri, 2008/10/31 - 12:31pm.

128,929 actually

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