Wed
Oct 15 2008
06:53 am
Battleground state polls and electoral map check 10/15
By: R. Neal

The latest sampling of battleground state polls:

• Colorado (9): Obama 52%, McCain 43% (source)
• Florida (27): Obama 51%, McCain 46% (source)
• Michigan (17): Obama 54%, McCain 38% (source)
• Missouri (11): Obama 50%, McCain 47% (source)
• New Mexico (5): Obama 45%, McCain 40% (NC source)
• North Carolina (15): Obama 48%, McCain 48% (source)
• Ohio (20): Obama 50%, McCain 45% (source)
• Pennsylvania (21): Obama 55%%, McCain 40% (source)
• Virginia (13): Obama 50%, McCain 47% (source)
• Wisconsin (10): Obama 54%, McCain 37% (source)

The latest electoral map check:

• CNN: Obama 264, McCain 174
• MSNBC: Obama 264, McCain 163
• NPR: Obama 273, McCain 163
• CQ Politics: Obama 311, McCain 174
• Politico: Obama 364, McCain 174
• Pollster: Obama 320, McCain 155
• Intrade Predictive: Obama 338, McCain 174
• RCP: Obama 313, McCain 158
• FiveThirtyEight: Obama 361.4, McCain 176.6
• 270toWin: Obama 264, McCain 163
• Electoral-Vote.com: Obama 357, McCain 181

(Previous)

Topics:
tennesseevaluesauthority's picture

Sea Change

Submitted by tennesseevalues... on Wed, 2008/10/15 - 10:39am.

Holy Moses! I note that a few of these sites have moved North Dakota into the toss-up or "weak" Democrat ledger. Let me repeat that-- NORTH. DAKOTA.

Minnesota (which presented more than 60% of its popular vote to GWB twice) is now listed as tilting to the Democrats. West By God Virginia is a toss-up state and Georgia is considered to be merely "leaning McCain."

And, yet, here in Tennessee...

Stick Thrower's picture

CNN

Submitted by Stick Thrower on Wed, 2008/10/15 - 1:01pm.

I guess CNN is going to ignore their own polling and freeze Obama at "264" on their EV map calculator until election day to keep viewers thinking it's still close. What does it take to move a state into the "leaning Obama" category? CNN's own polls out today have Obama +10 in VA, +5 in FL, and +4 in CO, yet they're still tossups.

R. Neal's picture

freeze Obama at "264" Yes, I

Submitted by R. Neal on Wed, 2008/10/15 - 1:05pm.

freeze Obama at "264"

Yes, I noticed that, too. MSNBC is doing pretty much the same thing. The Fox News map is so laughable I didn't include it. (It still has Pennsylvania for McCain.)

Brian A.'s picture

I'm a bit surprised Obama is

Submitted by Brian A. on Wed, 2008/10/15 - 1:20pm.

I'm a bit surprised Obama is still going full steam ahead in both Florida and Ohio. I guess they have plenty of money. I thought they might focus on the more promising one and shift resources to a few of the smaller battleground states that Bush won in 2004 (e.g., Iowa, NV, CO, VA). They just need Kerry states plus a couple of those to win.

Fortunately, McCain is an even bigger gambler. Why he keeps throwing time and money at PA is beyond me. He should be allocating his resources to simply hold Bush 2004 states--that's his best strategy.

Brian A.
I'd rather be cycling.

R. Neal's picture

Re. the earlier discussion

Submitted by R. Neal on Fri, 2008/10/17 - 12:43pm.

Re. the earlier discussion here about someone gaming Intrade...

CQ Politics | Trader Drove Up Price of McCain ‘Stock’ in Online Market

An internal investigation by the popular online market Intrade has revealed that an investor has been attempting to artificially boost the prediction that Sen. John McCain will become president.

MDB's picture

A phrase springs to mind

Submitted by MDB on Fri, 2008/10/17 - 12:49pm.

An internal investigation by the popular online market Intrade has revealed that an investor has been attempting to artificially boost the prediction that Sen. John McCain will become president.

The words "wacky scheme" come to my mind.

(Note that I have long believed that life would be better with two things

  1. wacky schemes
  2. production numbers

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.

TN Progressive

TN Politics

Knox TN Today

Local TV News

News Sentinel

    State News

    Wire Reports

    Lost Medicaid Funding

    To date, the failure to expand Medicaid/TennCare has cost the State of Tennessee ? in lost federal funding. (Source)

    Search and Archives