Tue
Apr 22 2008
08:25 am

What do you think? My guess: Clinton by 10+.

113
like
Brian A.'s picture

Wild guess

The polls have been all over the place, so who knows?

Clinton +6%

Brian A.
I'd rather be cycling.

bizgrrl's picture

Dunno. Hard to tell. With

Dunno. Hard to tell. With the news media bias, who knows what's really going on in Pennsylvania.

In The New York Times today:

Age is likely to play a particularly strong role in the Democratic primary Tuesday in Pennsylvania. The outmigration of young people has left the state with the second-highest proportion of people over 65 in the country, after Florida. Fifty-eight percent of registered Democrats are older than 45, a consistent dividing line in the race.

I'll go with Clinton by 8+

metulj's picture

Personally, I don't like

Personally, I don't like horse racing this stuff, but I will say that if Clinton doesn't pull double digits, she needs to get out of the race.

True happiness is knowing you are a hypocrite. -- Ivor Cutler

Rachel's picture

Crap, I have no real idea

Crap, I have no real idea other than Clinton will win. Just for fun I'll say Clinton by 11.

What does the winner get?

bill young's picture

10 is the tipping point

Nobody gives Obama any chance of winning Pa.

Including Obama.

I'm wishing somehow,someway the polls have
missed a massive turn-out on campuses & in the black wards that could give us a 1 vote win.

But wishing dont make it so.

All year Obama has surged in the polls from
2 weeks out till the last 4 days.

Obama's bittergate gaffe hit two
weeks out from Pa.& stopped him cold.

OTH,all year,in the last 4 days Clinton has surged.

Clinton has a shot @ a 10+ point win.

If she pulls that off this thing's in a full blown tizzy.

If Clinton's win is less than 10 points.

All you Clinton folks,hold on to your hat,you ain't
gonna like what you hear.

Because the media & the pro Obama folks are going
to spin it like a top to say Obama won.

For me a Clinton win is a Clinton win.

I'm wishing for an Obama upset.

But I don't think it's in the cards.

Clinton's got her must wins in Ohio,Tex
& Pa.

She's got one more must win

May 6th..Indiana.

The difference is..Obama can't afford to lose
Indiana either.

Average Guy's picture

Closer

Supposedly, she is in big with the bowler/drinker crowd. Any respectable drinker knows you don’t sip a shot. That will cost her.

+3 Clinton

BTW: as someone who misses the debate over her neckline, I’m thrilled we’re back to focusing on the opinion of the beer drinker. How did Lil’ George get elected again?

bizgrrl's picture

BTW: as someone who misses

BTW: as someone who misses the debate over her neckline, I’m thrilled we’re back to focusing on the opinion of the beer drinker. How did Lil’ George get elected again?

Yeah, I guess Pennsylvania is not a big basketball state?

Average Guy's picture

Touché

In a campaign for the highest office in the land, both are ridiculous. Maybe if Obama breaks his ankle playing basketball and Clinton needs her stomach pumped because of all her drinking, the press can follow them to the hospital where the discussion might turn to healthcare.

What am I thinking; the press knows they’ve always got angry John or wild Bill to “report” about.

Anonymously Nine's picture

Clinton +5 Too little, too

Clinton +5

Too little, too late.

Factchecker's picture

Ugh!

...the debate over her neckline, I’m thrilled we’re back to focusing on the opinion of the beer drinker. How did Lil’ George get elected again?

Nice cleavage? (Sorry for the image.)

It's hard to believe polls anymore. It's just nervous time.

CathyMcCaughan's picture

Does this hurt or help?

Does this hurt or help?

Average Guy's picture

It helps

It helps bolster Lil George’s idea of diplomacy.

RayCapps's picture

Both:

That'll hurt a little amongst the most left leaning Dems in the primaries, but most of those have already made up their minds and most of them seem to be breaking for Obama, anyway. In the general, it helps her to balance her criticism of Iraq with some tough talk on Iran.

From a policy standpoint, it's just restating a preexisting U.S. commitment to all her allies. If someone, anyone, nukes Israel, Great Britain, Germany, Japan, Australia, et al, we've long promised to respond with a nuclear attack of our own. Used to be we saved that talk for the now defunct Soviet Union, but MAD is still MAD.

From a practical standpoint, it's hardly necessary to state, much less do. Israel's possession of nuclear weapons and the systems needed to deliver them anywhere in the middle east is one of the poorest kept national secrets in world history. An Iranian launch toward Tel Aviv would immediately receive an Israeli counterstrike against Tehran and possibly even Mecca in Saudi Arabia, just in case the Ayatollahs are more concerned with sacred shrines than their own populations. Undoubtedly, the Ayatollahs have already been made fully aware of this through "unofficial channels."

Terry Troll's picture

It would really hurt...

Obama if the question were put to him and he said much less. American voters, as a whole, 1)have a soft spot for Isreal,2) have a huge worry about anyone who would use a nuclear weapon and 3)would expect a very strong retaliation against anyone who used a WMD on Israel. This is a kind of two edged sword for Obama. If he comes off soft on a response he loses a lot of votes to McCain in Nov. (assuming) if he goes too hard he losses the left wing of the party in the primaries.
I would expect any President or wanna be to rattle that sabre loudly. Pulling it out might be a little different.
Oh yeah, Clinton +12.

Stick Thrower's picture

I predict

Clinton +15% of the vote, yet gains only 13 more delegates total

Carole Borges's picture

Clinton under five...

I don't think anyone can really assess the youth vote and the huge new voters who recently registered. I think many of them will be for Obama. If Clinton goes on, she'll only hurt herself. During the last couple of weeks the spotlight has been on Obama, but the media is hungry for more meat and the reality of Hillary Clinton is beginning to smell like steak. There's the way over the top Israel/Iran nucleur bomb misstep. They are just beginning to get onto it. Also the fact that Hill and Bill are working both ends of the street to get the presidency secure and make more funny money is still out there. Barack slurs will be old and cold. Hillary will provide the new media fuel next..

Under five. I say she takes a dive.

RayCapps's picture

Rarely ever have a feel for things like this:

But I get a strong sense that Obama tripped over his own words at a critical juncture in PA, and it's going to hurt him in non-Philadelphia cities like Pittsburgh, Scranton, Allentown, and Harrisburg.. Put me down for Hillary by 56% to 44%.

Johnny Ringo's picture

I agree with the last two

I agree with the last two posters - Clinton +12.

Factchecker's picture

I'll just pick something. I

I'll just pick something. I think Clinton +7 is available. That sounds good.

R. Neal's picture

Looks like Bill and I were

Looks like Bill and I were spot on, with some others close to the pin.

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.

Post new comment

The content of this field is kept private and will not be shown publicly.
  • Lines and paragraphs break automatically.
  • Web page addresses and e-mail addresses turn into links automatically.

More information about formatting options

CAPTCHA
This question is used to make sure you are a human visitor and to prevent spam submissions.
Image CAPTCHA
Enter the characters shown in the image.

Lost Medicaid Funding

To date, the failure to expand Medicaid/TennCare has cost the State of Tennessee ? in lost federal funding.

TN Progressive

TN Politics

Local Media Blogs

Shopper Columns

Local News

News Sentinel

State News

Wire Reports

Site Statistics

Last 7 days:
  • Posts: 27
  • Comments: 530
  • Visits: 15,497
  • Pageviews: 41,916
Last 30 days:
  • Posts: 102
  • Comments: 1495
  • Visits: 45,837
  • Pageviews: 116,643

TN Progressive

Nearby:

Beyond:

At large: