The early voting totals are being updated again, and through yesterday 6554 people had voted early, 2821 Democrat and 3732 Republican.

With six of fourteen early voting days concluded, the total is on pace to exceed 15,000. It could be higher because of a) slow business due to the weather yesterday, b) Democrats waiting for South Carolina (Jan. 26th), and c) Republicans waiting for Florida (Jan. 29th).

Based on that, turnout could be significantly higher on the last two days (Jan. 30th and 31st). People who voted early for Thompson are probably feeling burned right about now, and others may be looking at that and thinking they might wait to make sure their vote will count for someone still in the race.

In the past, early voting has been about 40% of the turnout, and as high as about 60%. This means Knox County could be looking at turnout of 25,000 to 38,000. That sounds low, which also suggests the possibility of much heavier turnout in the last few days of early voting.

What do you think?