Wed
Aug 15 2007
08:30 am

Here's a blast from the past from the SKB June 2004 archives concerning the Democratic nominee and the process. I hate to say it, but I told you so. And for some reason, I'm getting the feeling that it's deja vu all over again.

Read more...


Elephant in the room
SK Bubba 6/23/2004 9:53:00 AM

OK, this is going to upset the party faithful, but I am going to make the case one more time for a stronger Democratic candidate for president.

As you are probably aware, I said earlier that John Kerry was a beltway-insider career politician and I didn't think much of him (or Lieberman or Gephardt). In fact, I said flatly that I would not vote for Lieberman at all (which thankfully will not be an issue) and only reluctantly for Kerry.

As you are also probably aware, Kerry was not my first choice. Or second. Or third. As the campaigns kicked off, Dean was the best candidate (although I had issues with him, too) and I supported him financially and otherwise. I really wanted Graham to run, so when he threw his hat in the ring I backed him. When it became clear he wasn't going to get any traction and Clark entered the race, I backed him (and still believe he is the strongest candidate to run against Bush's perceived, or more accurately manufactured, "strengths"). I wasn't too keen on Edwards at first because of his lack of experience, but he definitely has a JFK/Clintonesque quality that is appealing.

(Of course, the wingnut bloggers ridiculed me for backing a bunch of "losers" while they secretly hoped Kerry, or better yet Kucinich, would get the nomination. I also note the irony that the most vocal of those wingnuts hasn't contributed a penny to his guy Bush.)

Every day I look for something to like about Kerry and something good to say about his candidacy. I just can't find it. Any one of the candidates previously mentioned had a better platform on any given issue than Kerry, who is all over the place. He can't seem to decide if he's a liberal/progressive, a DLC centrist, or a Republican.

Dean had his scream. Graham had his little notebook. Clark had his questionable Democratic credentials. Edwards was tagged early on as the Breck Boy without substance. Curiously they laid off Kerry. But mark my words, "I voted for that before I voted against it" will be Kerry's Dean Scream as the election progresses. You will see it in GOP ads and the cable TeeVee talking wobbly bobble-heads will remind voters of it every day.

You might also remember me pointing out that the wobbly bobble-heads appointed Kerry when barely one-third of the primaries had been held. In fact, the primaries have just concluded in the past couple of weeks, and Dean was still getting delegates.

Yes, Kerry served honorably in Vietnam, and earned the right to call himself a war hero (unlike his contemporaries in the White House). But that was more than thirty years ago. Many served. It doesn't make you an expert on national security, nor does sitting on Senate committees being lied to by military-industrial complex shills. I don't see how Kerry can go up against Bush's only perceived strength with just that. Especially when the GOP starts dragging out the photos of him with Jane Fonda.

I note, too, that Kerry has not resigned from the Senate to run for president (although he has missed nearly every single vote in the past year or so, including some important to Democrats). Apparently he doesn't have a lot of confidence in his own candidacy and plans to keep his day job. Yes, I realize that the GOP governor of Massachusetts will appoint a Republican to replace him. But doesn't Kerry realize that the President of the United States wields considerably more power than a Senator from Massachusetts, Republican or otherwise? Besides, as president he could help more than a few Democrats get elected to Congress. Just like Bush in 2002.

I can also tell you without a doubt that the Democrats can write off Tennessee in 2004. Even with Edwards as his running mate, there is no way Kerry can win here. I also seriously doubt he can carry Florida (or any other Southern state). And don't forget that either Tennessee or Florida would have won Gore the presidency in 2000 (questions about the 537 votes notwithstanding).

All of this makes me wonder just exactly what is going on with the Democratic Party "leadership". It's almost as if they want to lose. They let Karl Rove pick who he wants to run against, and everything is all arranged. Or maybe it's the Rush Limbaugh theory that they want to lose now and make people suffer through four more years of Bush so they can nominate Hillary in 2008.

Tin-foil hat theories aside, obviously Sharpton would be a better president than Bush. So would Kerry. But shouldn't Democrats have a higher standard? Is "not-Bush" all we've got?

I think we have more. That's why I think Kerry should withdraw from the race and let the Democratic National Convention delegates nominate a stronger ticket. I realize that the current DNC rules prevent a "brokered convention" at this point, and that with the delegates he already has pledged Kerry has earned the nomination. That's why I believe he should withdraw and give Democrats a better chance in 2004.

Personally, I think the winning ticket is Edwards/Clark. I would love to see Edwards debate Bush and Clark debate Cheney. They would finally and convincingly expose Bush and Cheney as the buffoon and the scheming crook, respectively, they are.

That said, if Kerry is indeed the nominee (which is inevitable at this point) I will support him. I will work harder to find something to like and good things to say about him. The future of America is at stake. We cannot take four more years of a Bush administration, especially with the restraints of re-election removed.

I hope I'm wrong about Kerry being able to save us. Once Kerry is the nominee, I won't be able to say any of this. That's why I'm getting it off my chest and out on the table now. It's the elephant in the room that us Democrats don't seem to want to talk about. The other elephant waiting in the hall is the formidable GOP political machine, fueled by hundreds of millions of dollars and fanatical loyalty to a dangerously unstable leader who is obsessed with winning at any cost. So please, somebody, anybody, convince me I'm wrong.

OK, then.

Glen's picture

The elephant in the room

Good Post.

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Average Guy's picture

What happened to Howard?

Mr. Neal,

Please don't believe that "Dean's Scream" was the reason you lost him as candidate. As you will remember, Dean lost Iowa becuase he told an old man to "shut up and sit down" at one of the Iowa forums. This is why he lost Iowa.

The reason he lost his national attention was because of the attention the "Dean scream" got. The facts are that he was using a new directional microphone. The one he had previously was multidirectional and picked up crowd noise. He had given the speach many times before, yelling all the way, and it was a non issue because the crowd noise was mixed in. People in the news business know this, but reported it as a meltdown anyway.

The biggest news offenders; CNN and ABC This Week with George Snuffaluffagus (former Clinton aide). It wasn't even about destroying him so much as it was the idea of him.

R. Neal's picture

Yeah, I know about the

Yeah, I know about the scream (thanks for reminding us), but the point of that paragraph was, as you note, the media portrayal (destruction) of the candidates.

Also, re. Dean, there was a great documentary, I think by Nancy Pelosi's daughter, who followed the primaries all the way to Kerry's speech at the convention. (She also did one on Bush's first campaign, which is pretty revealing.)

I have mentioned this before, but I was struck by a scene in Iowa where starry-eyed Birkenstock-wearing hipsters were lecturing farmers and old folks in someone's living room about democracy and the issues that should be important to them almost to the point of being condescending. It was a total disconnect.

Andy Axel's picture

... I was struck by a scene

... I was struck by a scene in Iowa where starry-eyed Birkenstock-wearing hipsters were lecturing farmers and old folks in someone's living room about democracy and the issues that should be important to them....

True enough - those folks should have been instructed on how to listen, rather than how to talk.

Still. What strikes me is this: When the wing-tip wearing cognoscenti in the DC media bubble tell you what should be important to you, it's called "punditry." Why we think that's any more respectable, I have no idea.

____________________________

I'm a guy in a Reagan mask -- and I'm running for President!

Average Guy's picture

My Utopia

Imagine our country if the only time we ever heard from candidates were during radio debates. No discussion of hair, or necklines, stature, wives, etc.

Instead we get crap because that's all we're fed.

Carole Borges's picture

That would be so logical. By the way, I'm in love with your icon

Well, I guess it's called an avatar really.

He is so swarthy, almost smarmy, a voyeur with dark sharp eyes, and a dapper dresser with a tonosorial flair..oh, my!

Good grief! I guess I just did it. Veered away from your post into physical description..heh, heh...

bill young's picture

r u talkin clinton?

If Clinton gets the nomination Republicans will walk thru fire to beat her.Plus I think alota voters aint gonna buy this Bush-Clinton-Bush-Clinton deal.

I've been reading that Democrats,running for House & Senate, are begining to fear the full force of a Roveian Republican turn out if Clinton wins the nomination.As we have learned here in Knox County these folks hold on to power like a pit bull & if a Clinton nomination hurts their chances of re election...good bye Clinton.

Hello,Al.
Polls are finding a paradox,on the one hand,compared to 4 yrs ago many many more voters are paying attention to the race.On the other hand,they are saying the candidates are running to hard to early.

Its a chicken & egg deal.If they weren't running so hard so early would you be paying attention?

The point is the voters are in tune but not committed.
Al can just ease along..keep doing what he's doing.

For Al to win it will be done @ the convention & he will need to pick up delegates along the way.BUT they dont have to be ELECTED delegates...SUPER DELEGATES will do the trick.

Polls begin to show that if Clinton is nominated....its going to kill Democrats running down ballot.She's ahead in the delegate count...but is 150-200 votes shy of nomination.

Keep this in mind,Ted Kennedy's convention strategy was to pass a motion,on the floor,that would allow delegates to vote for any candidate.It didnt work because Carter was in control of of the convention floor & the motion failed.

If Clinton goes to Denver without the votes to control the floor

Tennessee

Madame Chair...The great state of Tennessee...is PROUD to cast all her votes...for our favorite son...the NEXT PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES

AL GORE!!!!

The band plays Rocky Top.

R. Neal's picture

The band plays Rocky

The band plays Rocky Top.

That would be sweet.

If Al's not going to run, I'm about to come out for Edwards. But it's too early yet.

Average Guy's picture

Madame Chair...The great

Madame Chair...The great state of Tennessee...is PROUD to cast all her votes...for our favorite son...the NEXT PRESIDENT OF THIS UNITED STATES

AL GORE!!!!

As long as he doesn't bankrupt us by imposing his standards of industry, it sounds better than anything else on the table. His condescending tone is almost insufferable, but he has right on many issues throughout his career. He's the one insider who the "inside" hates.

And that will be the reason the press will eat him. If he is to win, it will be like Deans campaign, through the internet. Which I guess is appropriate, since he created it.

bill young's picture

Obama

Got a sign on my door
Obama in '08

Ill get off of Obama in a NY second for Al

Pam Strickland's picture

John Edwards

He was my pick in 'o4, and at this point, he's my pick now.

Hillary has her pros, she's smarter than Bill, but she doesn't have the people skills. You'd have thought she would have picked some up over the last 30-plus years, but they only show up one-on-one. Remember I lived in Arkansas for 20 years where casual conversations with one or both of them could be had fairly easily. I have long believed that if she's the nominee that the Republicans would bring out Rove and everyone else to beat her. And we'd have to hear all that damned Whitewater nonsense again. That would be intolerable. I knew Vince Foster, and sadly know that he did commit suicide.

Anyway, if Al jumps in, I could even become a fan of that awful Rocky Top song.

Pam Strickland

"We are what we pretend to be, so we must be careful about what we pretend to be." ~Kurt Vonnegut

Average Guy's picture

1973 Golden Earring - Avatar Love

Are you talking to me or Mr. Neal? Maybe both - put the UT hat on Mr. Fawkes and you got a hell of an avatar.

Either way, sounds pretty universal that folks are longing for debate on the ideas, not so much a debate on the packaging of ideas.., unless the package has "dark sharp eyes".

Carole Borges's picture

Hahaha I meant you

Mr. Average Guy. That avatar kind of haunts me...
but to return to the topic at hand.

I think it will be an Clinton/Obama ticket. Many, many woman will vote for Clinton. Partly because she is a woman and partly because of her record on health care (proven)and partly because we all know how popular Bill is with the ladies. What a great pay-back for the stogie-in-the-office incident to be able to see Bill trailing along behind what could be conceived of as the victor in that mess.

Most Blacks will end up choosing Clinton over Barack in spite of the fact that he talks the talk. He appears a bit too green to be president and a bit too wealthy and educated to appeal to the frustrated masses. Though the frustrated masses don't always necessarily vote in large numbers. If he is Clinton's choice for VP it will bring out Black voters in droves though.

Edwards will get a respectable amount of votes because he's a good hearted guy with mainstream political appeal, but along the way he will be unable to seem like he has the right stuff. He's probably already lost the gay vote.

Kuckinich would be a wild president! He has a lot of really wonderful radical ideas, but that's the reason he will never get the nomination. If you want to vote for the "should be" candidate, he's your guy. Last election remember he was having trouble even finding a date. He's just not photogenic enough for the traditonally shallow average voter to go for him.

Chris Dodd may get a few senior citizens to vote for him. He's vintage and yet is always bragging about his new baby. If he doesn't win the nomination you could find him singing on one of those awful "Viva Viagra" commercials ala Bob Dole. I know Dodd's ex-wife Susan Dodd, a wonderful lady with a reputation for interesting ankle socks and a fabulous writer. She was too classy to ever gossip about her ex-husband, but if Susan couldn't stay with him, then I can't consider him presidential material.

Joe Biden is my favorite rough guy, half Humphrey Bogart and half English gentleman, but he would be smashed like a butterfly hitting a semi if he ever seemed to be gaining on the nomination. I don't think the Republicans would let that happen in a million years. They may even take up arms.

Bill Richardson is way too practical and qualified to get enough votes to be elected president. The fact that he might actually win is a sure turn-off to those who are looking for the election to be heated and juicy. If he did win, the Republicans would have to steal the election again, and they're so weak now, and so scrutinized about their lying ways, I doubt they are up to it. Like Rove, most high level Republicans are eager to head home to let their dutiful little wives restore thier bruised and wounded egos.

SammySkull's picture

I almost like the idea of

I almost like the idea of Clinton because I love seeing her at campaign stops/speeches and Bill sitting off to the side looking like he's listening. I miss Bill.

I hope this election sees Democrats voting for the best possible candidate. My feeling from '04 was that the Dems were looking for the candidate that could win as opposed to the candidate that should win. It was "a beat Bush at any cost" sort of feel, and it failed entirely. We got Kerry and he just flat out sucked.

There is a shallow part of me that likes Obama and Clinton for the obvious black guy and woman thing. The idea that we could end eight years of republican born misery by electing a black man and a woman just gives me a fit of giggles whenever I think about it. I wish they would be presidential material, and I'm afraid that neither of them are.

One thing that I'm really tired of, though I'm only in my early-ish thirties, I'm absolutely sick of presidential elections where I feel I waste a vote on principal or I admit defeat and vote for the lesser of two evils.

Mike Gravel in 2008!

Rachel's picture

I agree that Kerry sucked as

I agree that Kerry sucked as a candidate.

Here's my thing - I don't think the Democrats are blessed with a great, wonderful, perfect candidate this year. I do think they are blessed with several who can and probably will do a good job.

As to candidates that could win as opposed to should win - some practicality is necessary. For example, on paper Bill Richardson is the most qualified. As a campaigner he sucks. Did you hear him blow it at the gay debate the other night? When asked if homosexuality was a choice or if one was born that way, he said it was a choice. They repeated the question just to make sure they heard his answer correctly, and he went rambling off into something about not being a scientist, etc. etc. Bad enough - but then the next day he said he didn't understand the question because he had jet lag!

Unfortunately, it's not the first time he's made that kind of gaffe. I really respect the guy, but I won't vote for him because I think he'd make a crappy candidate.

Average Guy's picture

"I have long believed that

"I have long believed that if she's the nominee that the Republicans would bring out Rove and everyone else to beat her. And we'd have to hear all that damned Whitewater nonsense again"

Speaking of Rove, Anderson Cooper put him on the couch Monday;
•The man he thought to be his father was not, Rove learned when he was 19.
•Rove's stepfather was gay.
•Rove's mother committed suicide in 1981.
•College dropout

Calling Dr. Freud. If anybody has a link to the actual video of Anderson Cooper Raw Data on Monday, please post it here.

One thing that I'm really tired of, though I'm only in my early-ish thirties, I'm absolutely sick of presidential elections where I feel I waste a vote on principal or I admit defeat and vote for the lesser of two evils.

I don't miss Bill, but I feel your pain.

bizgrrl's picture

Yes, Rachel, I totally

Yes, Rachel, I totally agree.

Isn't Kucinich the only one with a true Universal Health Care solution?

Socialist With A Gold Card's picture

Isn't Kucinich the only one

Isn't Kucinich the only one with a true Universal Health Care solution?

Pretty much.

Kucinich is the only one who's advocating a single-payer system (although Gravel might be, his speeches tend to be rather opaque).

Edwards has proposed a new publicly-funded system that would at first cover only those people who are currently uninsured, and later on, any employers who want to join it. Essentially, Edwards is proposing to bundle all those folks together in one single bargaining unit or insurance pool. Other than that, his proposals merely tinker around the edges of the existing system, as do all the other candidates.

Most of the proposals would increase insurance availability at least a little bit. Aside from Kucinich, none of them stand a chance of bringing down health care costs in any meaningful way, and none of them stand a chance of covering 100% of the population (which itself would bring down costs).

--Socialist With A Gold Card


"I'm a socialist with a gold card. I firmly believe we need a revolution; I'm just concerned that I won't be able to get good moisturizer afterwards." -- Brett Butler

Pam Strickland's picture

Bill Richardson is way too

Bill Richardson is way too practical and qualified to get enough votes to be elected president.

He has had some horrible gaffes lately, before that I knew of more than one person who was very interested in him.

I almost like the idea of Clinton because I love seeing her at campaign stops/speeches and Bill sitting off to the side looking like he's listening. I miss Bill.

Part of me laughed at this because it is odd to see him in the background. But I think he's listening, so he can do what needs to be done in the background and can help move the campaign forward.

Having been the point person on the political staff of a daily Arkansas newspaper, I can't say that I miss him the way others might, but he is one hell of a politician.
Pam Strickland

"We are what we pretend to be, so we must be careful about what we pretend to be." ~Kurt Vonnegut

Average Guy's picture

Haunting?

That avatar kind of haunts me...

Can you explain? I don't mind being provocative and hopefully sometimes humorous, but I certainly don't want to come across as haunting.

Carole Borges's picture

What I meant is it seems familiar, and yet not...

It's a very interesting face. I didn't mean spooky. Could we just agree on provocative, mysterious and humorous. It was a light comment originally and complimentary.

R. Neal's picture

Carole, have you seen V is

Carole, have you seen V is for Vendetta?

Carole Borges's picture

Ah, dark, dark, dark, very dark

and V is very complicated. I probably wouldn't have the patience to wade through the book, but the movie sounds fascinating. I am not a nihlist or an anarchist. Nihlism scares me. Anarcists use violence--brrr! I'm not really sure what I beieve in about society as a whole. Sometimes I think I believe in simultaneous bands of reality that some among us can move back and forth in, like cavorting porpoises or like being in a well-produced movie, that there are different states of existence like the good, the bad, the ugly, the beautiful. Some people get stuck in one reality. So there you have it--I could be crazy, but of course it would be "the good kind".

Yes, without a doubt, the pen has always been mightier than the sword.

R. Neal's picture

Well, mainly I was referring

Well, mainly I was referring to Average Guy's avatar, which is the mask of the main character in the movie.

Carole Borges's picture

Oh yes, thank you. I saw it.

Thanks Neal for mentioning the movie and the Guy Fawkes connection. I looked up both and now feel enlightened. I haven't seen the movie, but will look for it.

Average Guy's picture

It's worth a watch

It all goes to prove this crap is nothing new. Only now the town criers are connected to millions.

Average Guy's picture

More impotently the history

More importantly the history of Guy Fawkes? I share his belief that it would be nice to start over, but disavow the methods. I believe the pen is mightier than the sword, and hope that our country will find guidance through its written works. "We the People" will again find our voice. In our time, the internet community may become the equivalant to Fawke's gunpowder.

Factchecker's picture

I agree that Kerry sucked as

I agree that Kerry sucked as a candidate.

Here's my thing - I don't think the Democrats are blessed with a great, wonderful, perfect candidate this year. I do think they are blessed with several who can and probably will do a good job.

Kerry sucked as a candidate, but Al sucked a lot more IMO. Both would be good presidents, but Al would be better IMO.

I think the '08 front three make better candidates than either Kerry or Al. So for me the candidate characteristics of all of these are inversely proportional to their leadership qualifications. (To put in perspective, all/any on Dem side would be far superior to W the Worst, of course.)

SammySkull's picture

A monkey with a magic eight

A monkey with a magic eight ball would be better the W.

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