Wed
Jan 10 2007
09:42 am

The Detroit Auto Show gets underway this week. I was looking forward to the new model announcements, hopefully some hybrids or other super-efficient cars. But no. Instead we get some new monster trucks and more of the same old same old.

Industry pundits predict that Toyota will soon take over GM's spot as the #1 automaker. Toyota has three mainstream hybrid vehicles in their lineup. GM responds by announcing an updated Cadillac CTS (258 HP, EPA 18/27, Consumer Reports 13/29), and updated Malibu (252 HP, EPA 22/30, Consumer Reports 14/31), and an updated Pontiac Torrent Crossover SUV (263 HP, EPA 19/25, Consumer Reports 12/25).

In their defense, GM also introduced a hideous electric plug-in/hybrid concept car called the Volt, and Toyota introduced two new monster trucks.

As for the Volt, I fail to see how plug-in electrics solve more problems than they create. The electrical grid is already running at capacity, and adding capacity will only generate more pollution and greenhouse gasses unless it's nuclear, and we can't seem to figure out how to build safe nuclear power plants or what to do with the waste. Plus it will take decades to bring any new nuclear plants online and by then it may be too late.

The only other new hybrid is the Mazda Tribute SUV, a re-badged Ford Escape Hybrid (EPA 33/29, Consumer Reports 22/29). We looked at an Escape hybrid, but our Ford Freestyle gets about the same mileage reported by Consumer Reports and hauls seven people or lots of cargo for less money.

Ford is missing the boat on hybrids. Their Focus and Fusion models would be perfect candidates for hybrid versions. Maybe they rode the SUV wave just a little too long, though, and no longer have the resources. Which would be sad, because Ford was the first and only U.S. automaker to bring a a hybrid to market.

DaimlerChryslerDodge's business plan appears to be planned obsolescence, with updated Avenger, Viper, and Magnum models for Real Men and the trusty old Caravan/Town & Country for the Mrs. Yawns all around.

But enough griping. There are a couple of cool new cars. Chevrolet introduces a retro Camaro convertible concept car aimed to compete with the rejuvenated Ford Mustang. The 400HP V8 Camaro looks cool, if it ever gets built, but I'll take the Mustang.

More appealing is the BMW 3 series hardtop convertible. Sweet! Except it adds 440 pounds which probably won't help its already underwhelming fuel economy. But still...

For a full roundup with articles, blogs, and photos, see the Edmunds Inside Line.

Number9's picture

As for the Volt, I fail to

As for the Volt, I fail to see how plug-in electrics solve more problems than they create. The electrical grid is already running at capacity, and adding capacity will only generate more pollution and greenhouse gasses unless it's nuclear, and we can't seem to figure out how to build safe nuclear power plants or what to do with the waste. Plus it will take decades to bring any new nuclear plants online and by then it may be too late.

Good application of critical thinking. We have too many people that are looking for the "feel good" politically correct "solutions" to everything that seem blind to the law of unintended consequences.

Suggestions are that some electric cars get the equivalent of 140 MPG. Even if that is true when the electricity comes form coal fired plants is the net effect better? It is less oil from the Mid East so that is a positive but more load on coal burning plants is a big negative. One of the worst things from coal fired plants is mercury pollution.

There are no easy solutions.

SayUncle's picture

Someone really needs to make

Someone really needs to make a decent hybrid, cross-over SUV.

---
SayUncle
Can't we all just get a long gun?

Paul Witt's picture

The theory is that it's

The theory is that it's easier to make one pollution source clean (a coal fired plant) than tens of thousands (personal automobiles). Not to mention that personal solar panels could be installed on your home or you could pay your utility the extra few bucks for wind/solar power.

Number9's picture

The problem is we are entrenched and cannot try new ideas...

The theory is that it's easier to make one pollution source clean (a coal fired plant) than tens of thousands (personal automobiles). Not to mention that personal solar panels could be installed on your home or you could pay your utility the extra few bucks for wind/solar power.

Good points. Unfortunately TVA dragged its feet on cleaning up coal fired plants. A good question would be how clean are they now?

Solar Panels could make a difference but their price point and break-even is still not very good.

Here is an interesting quiz on electric cars.

This brings up an interesting idea that will not be popular with the Haslam family. What if you could fill up your car in your own garage? Either electric cars or cars that run on natural gas could easily let your have your own fill up in your garage. That would be a nightmare for Pilot. So it stands to reason that political lobbyist would fight that idea with everything they've got.

Of course then you are back to the law of unintended consequences. America doesn't have enough natural gas to make that idea work.

Unless, the government, the people, and the oil industry could work together and do this.

Coal gasification could reduce the need for Middle Eastern Oil, improve national security, create hundreds of thousands of American jobs, improve the environment(yes really Andy), and create enough natural gas to fuel Americas cars.

But it will never happen. The current system is too entrenched. That's a shame because America has enough coal reserves, more than any country, to be completely energy independent.

Les Jones's picture

"The theory is that it's

"The theory is that it's easier to make one pollution source clean (a coal fired plant) than tens of thousands (personal automobiles)."

I totally agree with that part.

"Not to mention that personal solar panels could be installed on your home or you could pay your utility the extra few bucks for wind/solar power."

This part doesn't really ring true, though. If you've got solar-generated electricity you could simply use it for your home electrical needs. That avoids all of the expense, power loss, and environmental problems created by the batteries needed for an electric car.

www.lesjones.com

Number9's picture

Good point Les.

If you've got solar-generated electricity you could simply use it for your home electrical needs. That avoids all of the expense, power loss, and environmental problems created by the batteries needed for an electric car.

How do you charge your electric car with solar panels? If you are at work the car is not home. I have looked at solar panels and the converter to sell excess electricity back to TVA. Can't make it work. The solar panels are over $18,000.

If electric cars or hybrids become huge sellers what do you do with the spent batteries? Sounds like a land fill nightmare.

Paul Witt's picture

At least it seems that we're

At least it seems that we're all in agreement that 100% fossil fuel personal automobiles and the subsequent dependence on foreign energy sources is a "bad thing". Right?

Number9's picture

Foreign energy sources makes no sense

At least it seems that we're all in agreement that 100% fossil fuel personal automobiles and the subsequent dependence on foreign energy sources is a "bad thing". Right?

Dependence on foreign energy sources is the dumbest thing this country has ever done. How did this happen?

I am stunned that both the government and the oil industry are not exploring switch grass and coal gasification as supplements for our energy needs.

We need a Manhattan Project for domestic energy. Senator Corker, are you listening?

Paul Witt's picture

Senator Corker, are you

Senator Corker, are you listening?

hahahahahaha. good one.

edens's picture

Coal fueled cars and plenty

Coal fueled cars and plenty of free parking.

Nine's idea of Nirvana

Number9's picture

Okay, let's talk about it...

Coal fueled cars and plenty of free parking.

Nine's idea of Nirvana

My reply here.

Les Jones's picture

"At least it seems that

"At least it seems that we're all in agreement that 100% fossil fuel personal automobiles and the subsequent dependence on foreign energy sources is a "bad thing". Right?"

Sure, but the question is what to do about it. Hydrogen doesn't help, because the most efficient process for creating it uses fossil fuels, and besides you'd need new vehicles and a new infrastructure.

Hybrids are a step in the right direction, and they don't require any new infrastructure. I'm hoping the efficiency will improve while the cost goes down.

www.lesjones.com

Factchecker's picture

Electrics

As for the Volt, I fail to see how plug-in electrics solve more problems than they create. The electrical grid is already running at capacity, and adding capacity will only generate more pollution and greenhouse gasses unless it's nuclear,

Gotta disagree here. The theory is that the cost of recharging a pure electric in terms of a gallon of equivalent (in mpg) gasoline is well under a $1/gal. And that even using dirty coal plants, the pollution from the recharge is not as bad as ICE exhaust except in terms of sulfur dioxide, which is marginally higher but of course could be reduced if dirty coal plants aren't used by utilities, which they shouldn't anyway. As for capacity, it's said that capacity is much higher during the night when most electrics would be recharged.

We recently rented Who Killed the Electric Car and it's a wonderful and even entertaining movie. There's some good bonus mat'l. on the DVD too. I'm aware that there are other perspectives in the issue of how good the EV-1 was and why it was killed. Granted, for example, there wasn't much cargo room or space for more than two persons. But even with it's 1990s technology batteries, its worst case 60 mile/charge figure met the needs of 90% of California commuters.

Then there's the awesome Tesla. I can't believe that a more modest but 4 passenger version couldn't be mass produced with advancements within the next few years at a cost that's competitive with today's hybrids, etc.

I do like hybrids, though, and I agree the Fusion and Focus are perfect candidates. And where are modern wagons? The Dodge Magnum might be a fair wagon, but follows most Dodge cars' styling of being ridiculously macho-looking.

Factchecker's picture

P.S. Links

Here's a cool electric car link that I believe was started with the making of WKTEC. Here's an interview with the makers of the flick.

On a related note, we've started to TiVo a new reality show on HGTV about Living with Ed Begley. It sucks in the usual reality show ways, but has good material (Begley and his eco endeavors). If his wife is really like she is portrayed (I seriously doubt it), he should dump her. (Sunday nights at 10, I think.)

UPDATE: Emission comparison found here. Comparing the government's data, the latest electric car published was the 2003 Toyota RAV4 EV while their latest Prius data shows that the greenhouse gases are slightly lower for the Prius, 3.4 vs. 3.9 tons/yr. I don't know what their basis is for power generation, though, but it's likely to include a lot of conventional coal and gas generation. With a large grid adding lots of wind and other renewables, it just gets better for plug-ins.

Even these numbers show too that the equiv. MPG for the RAV4 EV is 125/100 MPG city/hwy, which results in an estimated annual cost of $362 yr. vs. $631 for the 60/51 MPG Prius. We know, too, that the more realistic mileage for the Prius is actually closer to something like 45 MPG. (Using the same basis for cost comparison, my car which averages 28 MPG costs a little over $1300/yr in fuel. Plus there's a lot more maintenance for the ICE.)

gttim's picture

Hmm.

As for the Volt, I fail to see how plug-in electrics solve more problems than they create. The electrical grid is already running at capacity...

Cars would mostly be charged at night when the grid is running below capacity.

I would buy an electric car in a heartbeat, preferably a Mustang which would be sacrilege. However, I would want some type of solar cells on the roof, trunk and hood so that it could collect solar energy at work while parked, and while operating. It would not be able to run completely off solar with todays technology, but it would provide some of the energy. Systems to collect energy from braking should be utilized as well. I would plug it in at home and have a timer set to recharge at night.

I have a friend who bought new fangled, retro looking Toyota FJ Cruiser, with the high tiny windows like many of the concept cars currently have. He has not had it 6 months and is getting rid of it. He can't see out of the damn car.

Stick Thrower's picture

Here you go gttim: A solar

Here you go gttim: A solar powered scooter. Solar panels fold out to recharge while you're at work.

Up Goose Creek's picture

Electric Bike

I love my electric bike

(link...)

It's great on these Tennessee hills. But it's not geared well for picking up speed on the downhills/ straightaways.

This reminds me, I need ot go back on green power so I'll have a solar powered bike.

Les Jones's picture

Bubba:

You're a Ford guy and you mentioned the new Mustang one time. Check out this custom Italian Mustang. Way too cool.

www.lesjones.com

gttim's picture

No scooter. That Giugiaro

No scooter. That Giugiaro Ford Mustang Concept is hot, however. I will take one of those in blue, please. I do not like the one piece of glass that makes up the windshield, roof and rear windshield, however. Imagine the cost of replacing that if it cracked, which it will do. Also down here in Georgia, I want the shade of a solid roof. Hell, with the front and rear windshields I have now the damn thing becomes an oven very quickly. I love the wing doors. The Mustang doors are so long, the really torque normal hinges. The wing doors might be more durable.

I have heard their might be a Mustang 4-door and station wagon. I wouldn't like the sedan, but the wagon could be cool.

redmondkr's picture

Not too shabby.

Not too shabby. Sorry about this shade of blue.

Mustang Sedan 

R. Neal's picture

Thanks to all for educating

Thanks to all for educating me on plug-in cars. I had not thought about many of these interesting aspects and will have to do some more research to get up to speed.

I am thinking short-term at the moment. As in I need a new car and I'd like to buy a hybrid but there aren't any that jump out and say "buy me!". The Prius seems like the most bang for the buck, but damn it's ugly.

Short term, it's a technology that we have and that works. My main point is I don't understand why automakers aren't getting on board. Just like I don't understand why Congress doesn't mandate higher CAFE standards. These are things we could be doing right now.

Longer term, that's an excellent point about solar. I think it should be a huge factor in our energy equation. Like panels on every roof, giant solar farms out in the desert or floating out on the ocean converting sea water to storable hydrogen, or things along those lines.

The idea of a more distributed system, with each home, school, or office being mostly or totally self-sufficient isn't going to play well, though, with the energy industry. I think the way to overcome that is get them in on the game, i.e. distributing, installing, financing, and maintaining the systems.

There will also have to be huge investments in R&D and manufacturing ramp-up for it to be cost effective. Like #9, I looked in to it, and you are looking at a 20 to 25 year payback right now. But I'm almost to the point of "so what?" Plus I think it would add to your property value. But then there are still lots of safety issues, problems with batteries, compatibility, switching, finding electricians who can work on the stuff, etc. etc.

(Speaking of hydrogen, now that I've learned more about it I've pretty much given up on it. It's good for a storage and delivery solution, but it doesn't seem very efficient right now unless somebody comes up with a magic way to produce it.)

Anyway, good discussion.

Number9's picture

Could solar power America?

Longer term, that's an excellent point about solar. I think it should be a huge factor in our energy equation. Like panels on every roof, giant solar farms out in the desert or floating out on the ocean converting sea water to storable hydrogen, or things along those lines.

For those interested I recommend this site.

The most striking statement on this website is,"It is estimated that solar panels sited on 100 square miles of Nevada desert would easily meet the entire nation’s electrical requirements."

Could that be true? 100 square miles is pretty big. Anyone electrical engineers out there?

I believe we have reached the point where our nation's greatest problems are no longer technical but political.

R. Neal's picture

A while back I did a SWAG

A while back I did a SWAG spreadsheet calculation (that I was miraculously able to dig up) comparing TVA hydro power v. planting corn on the inundated land v. covering it with solar panels.

Here's the breakdown, in terms of the value of the KWH of electricity that could be produced on the same amount of land (480,000 acres):

Value of ethanol energy: $45,086,705
Value of hydro energy: $620,100,000
Value of solar energy: $54,912,000,000

There are probably errors in my assumptions/calculations, but that seems pretty dramatic.

(If my math is right, 480,000 acres is 750 sq. miles.)

Socialist With A Gold Card's picture

Math time

The most striking statement on this website is,"It is estimated that solar panels sited on 100 square miles of Nevada desert would easily meet the entire nation’s electrical requirements."

Could that be true?

Doubtful.

According to this site (and several others I found), typical solar cells produce less than 0.01 kW/sq ft. A 100-square-mile patch would thus produce about 28 million kW. According to the DOE, net internal demand in the contiguous US for 2007 is expected to be 633 million kW. So, the 100-square-mile patch would only produce 4.4% of our electricity needs. This is for current electricity consumption only, and therefore doesn't include the energy used for transportation.

Solar by itself seemingly won't cut it, unless we cover 2500 square miles of Nevada in solar panels.

--Socialist With A Gold Card


"I'm a socialist with a gold card. I firmly believe we need a revolution; I'm just concerned that I won't be able to get good moisturizer afterwards." -- Brett Butler

R. Neal's picture

Hmmm, the assumption I used

Hmmm, the assumption I used in the above calculation (this was about four years ago) was 120,000 KWH from 3000 sq. ft. of solar panels, or 40 KWH/sq. ft. Don't recall where I got that, but maybe it was an advanced, state-of-the-art super-efficient super-expensive (possibly theoretical?) panel design or something.

Socialist With A Gold Card's picture

Apples vs. oranges

The numbers I used above were in kilowatts, which is a measure of power; this is the rate at which energy can be produced or consumed (like the horsepower rating in a car engine). The kilowatt-hour, on the other hand, is simply an amount of energy (in this case, the amount produced in one hour). For example, a 100-watt light bulb (or 0.1 kW) used for one hour would consume 0.1 kilowatt-hours.

Was the 120,000 KWH produced over a whole year?

I do think solar could (and should) be an important component in our energy future; some combination of large panel arrays in the desert with rooftop panels on buildings could make a significant contribution. But ultimately I think we'll have to use some combination of solar, wind, nuclear, hydro, and coal (with mandatory carbon sequestration) in any strategy that both meets our consumption needs and begins to do something about global warming. Sequestration technology already exists, and I've seen some recent designs that could be implemented for around $100 million per coal power plant. It'd be expensive, but we have to do something soon.

--Socialist With A Gold Card


"I'm a socialist with a gold card. I firmly believe we need a revolution; I'm just concerned that I won't be able to get good moisturizer afterwards." -- Brett Butler

R. Neal's picture

Was the 120,000 KWH produced

Was the 120,000 KWH produced over a whole year?

Yes, I think. I was trying to compare TVA's annual hydro KWH output (about 10 billion KWH at the time, looks like that is up to about 15 billion for 2005).

My solar example (480,000 acres) would generate 844.8 billion KWH per year v. TVA's total output of 159 billion for whatever year that was.

edens's picture

It's more like Nine to

It's more like Nine to resurrect an old thread, but I did a little more digging into the Volt and it looks interesting:

"The recent documentary film, Who Killed the Electric Car?, accused automakers (GM, in particular), of sabotaging the electric car, specifically GM's EV1.

GM engineers say the Volt and GM's E-flex wouldn't have been possible without the invaluable lessons learned from the EV1. In fact, many of the same engineers who worked on the EV1 are working on the Volt and E-flex.

"EV1 was a good idea, but the Volt is a better one," insists Posawatz.

The EV1 carried only two passengers; the Volt accommodates four. The Volt will take a quick charge and requires less than 6.5 hours to fully recharge; the EV1 took eight hours to recharge. The EV1 had no backup system when the batteries died, and its driving range was between 60 and 90 miles. The Volt has a small gasoline engine that kicks in when the battery runs down, delivering a total driving range of 640 miles.

"There would never be a situation in which you didn't get home," GM Vice Chairman Bob Lutz assures us."

Essentialy the gasoline motor powers a generator, rather than propel the car directly(somewhat akin to the way most diesel locomotives work).

More here

Number9's picture

Good post edens

The Volt will take a quick charge and requires less than 6.5 hours to fully recharge; the EV1 took eight hours to recharge. The EV1 had no backup system when the batteries died, and its driving range was between 60 and 90 miles. The Volt has a small gasoline engine that kicks in when the battery runs down, delivering a total driving range of 640 miles.

Essentially the gasoline motor powers a generator, rather than propel the car directly(somewhat akin to the way most diesel locomotives work).

Impressive. I wondered if they would look to the past and use the old generator technology that has been used on locomotives and submarines for a very long time.

One safety suggestion for the GM Volt and all Hybrids. I should probably see if anyone has thought of this as it has some value but it is probably already on the drawing board.

There should be a electrical ground disconnect that is activated with the air bags. This way if emergency personnel have to use the "jaws of life" they will not be electrocuted.

Factchecker's picture

Like a rock

"EV1 was a good idea, but the Volt is a better one," insists Posawatz.

When will GM put such a good (or better) idea into production? Seems they need to sell some good idea products.

Number9's picture

Better idea...

There should be a electrical ground disconnect that is activated with the air bags. This way if emergency personnel have to use the "jaws of life" they will not be electrocuted.

Actually this idea would work better if the positive pole was disconnected when the air bags deploy.

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