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Published on KnoxViews (http://www.knoxviews.com)

Is the Obama delegate lead accurate?

By adanovi
Created Mar 9 2008 - 22:53
I want to thank the people who responded to me directly via my email burst last week. I know some of you are reading here as well. IF you would like to post this information in other places please just contact me first. More than likely, I will let you do it. I'm in the process of writing a series of blogs on the superdelegates that everyone is talking about. However, while I do that, I want to give you something else to think about. It's this delegate lead that Obama has. Do you think that the elected delegates exactly represent the proportion of the vote that voted for each candidate? Do you think, for example, that if your district has 4 delegates that each one of them represents 25% of the vote? Well guess what, it doesn't work that way either. I came to this conclusion when I was analyzing my own district, the second congressional district in Tennessee. We voted greater than 50% for Hillary and somewhat less than 50% for Obama. However, we split the elected voting delegates at two each. This is the problem because each vote is represented by a single person. So, you can't split an individual delegate vote to accurately represent the popular vote. Why should Obama be represented with 50% of the vote when he clearly didn't have 50% of the vote in the second congressional district of Tennessee? This exact situation was explained on the national blog, My Direct Democracy, better than I can explain it here. So, in the interest of avoiding plagiarism, I'm going to refer to this website called "Candidates to split delegates (+ case study of TN)" [1] You all need to seriously question the "lead" that Obama is bragging about. He doesn't have as big of a lead as you might think and his lead is actually an overcompensation because the small delegate numbers within the individual congressional districts cannot be divided accurately to represent the vote. For all you Edwards supporters out there who may have voted Edwards in the Tennessee primary, you would be interested in this as well. So, please check out this website [2]. If I recieve permission to copy the article here I will do it.

Source URL:
http://www.knoxviews.com/node/7302