Tue
Jun 22 2010
04:06 pm
By: Andy Axel  shortURL

McWherter lagging all comers in most recent Rasmussen poll.

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Andy Axel's picture

Call for interference

Yes, McWherter is even trailing Tennessee's Angriest Gubernatorial Candidate(TM) -- Zach Wamp -- and by comfortable double-digit margins in any permutation.

This may mean that if there's not a contested Democratic primary in your jurisdiction, and if Tennessee's Angriest Gubernatorial Candidate manages to close a double-digit polling gap of his own, one might be called to remember the Tennessee standard of establishing political bonafides.

For the purposes of a primary: the voter intends to affiliate with the party for which s/he requests a ballot. (The law is not specific about the duration for which said voter must hold said inclination, nor does it say anything about requisite sincerity applied thereto.)

gonzone's picture

But

One must remember how heavily Rasmussen tilts these polls towards the GOP angle. Not that there isn't some truth there, just not as bad as this shows.

Andy Axel's picture

Even allowing +/- 8 (terribly

Even allowing +/- 8 (terribly generous by most polling standards) for MOE doesn't improve the picture much.

And fact o' business is that Rasmussen has been fairly accurate in predicting outcomes, independent of questions of bias. Certainly they've done a lot better than Zogby.

EricLykins's picture

Lt. Gov. Ron Ramsey and

Lt. Gov. Ron Ramsey and Congressman Zach Wamp hold 44 percent and 33 percent leads on McWherter, respectively, according to the poll.

-Tennesseean reporter Nicole Young, mangling this:

Both State Senate Speaker Ron Ramsey and Congressman Zach Wamp lead McWherter by a 44% to 33% margin.

Lt. Gov. Ron Ramsey and Congressman Zach Wamp hold 11 percent and 11 percent leads on McWherter, respectively, according to the poll.

link to the poll, while we're at it

In the Ramsey-McWherter match-up, seven percent (7%) would prefer another candidate, and 16% are not sure. When Wamp is the candidate, eight percent (8%) of the state’s voters would vote for a different candidate and 14% are undecided.

Hope that helps the picture.

Question of the summer: Do you really want a Republican Governor for Tennessee? Personally, I really don't want to put up with any of that mess around here.

scorecard

Andy Axel's picture

Hope that helps the

Hope that helps the picture.

I read it the same way that I did when I read the polling result. There are a minimum of 3 huge "if's" that have to break in McWherter's direction in order for him to make inroads against any candidate right out of the August primary.

Question of the summer: Do you really want a Republican Governor for Tennessee? Personally, I really don't want to put up with any of that mess around here.

Of course not. That's not the point.

Once again: McWherter isn't facing a contested primary and he will be entering the race from behind against the GOP candidate, TBA.

bizgrrl's picture

Thanks, Eric. Maybe we

Thanks, Eric.

Maybe we should just change Tennessee to the Tea Party State instead of the Volunteer State and give up all pretenses of progress. People give up too easy.

If we end up with a Republican governor, will the 79% of respondents to this survey get their way and TN law will change to match Arizona (i.e. police must check the immigrations status of anyone they stop for a traffic violation of some other kind of violation if they suspect that person is an illegal limmigrant)?

If we end up with a Republican governor,

Sixty percent (60%) or more of voters who favor passing an Arizona-like law in Tennessee support the Republican candidates, while the Democrat earns comparable support from those who oppose such a law.

EricLykins's picture

:)

People give up too easy.

party on Friday, not for quitters

Andy Axel's picture

This isn't about surrender,

This isn't about surrender, folks. It's about knowing what you're up against.

What's McWherter doing? Having yet another campaign launch event. Whoo. Hoo.

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